Brentford vs Bournemouth | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips | 27 Dec 2025

Brentford and Bournemouth meet in what feels like a proper December six-pointer. Neither side are in trouble just yet, but both know how important these home-and-away swing games can be when the fixtures start piling up.

The home crowd should be bang up for this one, with Brentford traditionally strong on their own patch. Bournemouth will bring good travelling support and won’t shy away from playing their football.

Expect Brentford to be direct and aggressive, mixing open play with heavy set-piece pressure. Bournemouth are more possession-based, looking to control midfield areas and build patiently when possible.

Brentford score the bulk of their goals in the first half, averaging over one goal before the break, which points to fast starts and early pressure. Bournemouth are more evenly split across halves, often growing into games rather than exploding early.

Set pieces are a major factor here. Brentford average 0.71 set-piece goals per game, one of the strongest returns in this match-up, while Bournemouth have conceded 0.65 per game from dead-ball situations.

Bournemouth attempt more shots and enjoy slightly more possession, but Brentford’s physical approach and aerial strength can disrupt that rhythm.

Brentford: Four wins, one draw, five defeats from the last ten. 18 goals scored, 15 conceded, with two clean sheets. Strong at home, patchy away, and very front-loaded in matches.

Bournemouth: Two wins, five draws, three defeats. 15 scored, 17 conceded, with three clean sheets. Competitive most weeks but struggling to turn draws into wins.

Brentford at home have taken the majority of their points, averaging close to two goals scored per match and looking far more comfortable pressing teams high.

Bournemouth away have struggled defensively, conceding regularly and picking up only sporadic wins. They tend to stay in games but often leave themselves with too much to do.

Both sides sit in a very similar xG range, suggesting a tight game with chances at both ends.

Brentford have had the upper hand recently, winning four of the last five meetings. The last three have all been settled by a single goal, and games at this ground tend to be lively.

This feels like one where Brentford’s home edge and set-piece threat make the difference, but Bournemouth should have their moments.

Prediction: Brentford 2–1 Bournemouth

Main pick: Brentford to win – strong home form and positive head-to-head record.

Value angle: BTTS – Yes – both defences concede regularly.