Chelsea vs Arsenal | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips | 30 Nov 2025

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Premier League, 30 November 2025

Two title-chasing London giants go head-to-head at Stamford Bridge – expect fireworks in this massive derby.

Introduction

Chelsea and Arsenal are both right in the thick of the title race and playing some of the best football in the league. This one always delivers drama – recent meetings have been tight and full of needle. Stamford Bridge will be absolutely electric, with the home end in full voice and a huge travelling support from North London.

Chelsea line up in a fluid 4-2-3-1 that presses high and looks to dominate the ball. Arsenal go 4-3-3, happy to control possession and pick teams off with quick transitions.

Tactical Trends

Both sides are ruthless going forward – Chelsea average 1.80 goals scored, Arsenal 2.10 – but they’re also two of the meanest defences in the division, conceding 1.20 and 0.80 respectively. Set pieces are a big weapon for both, and with high possession numbers (55% and 60%), this could be decided by who converts their big chances better.

Form

Chelsea over the last ten: six wins, three draws, one defeat – 18 scored, 12 conceded, three clean sheets. In sensational form and loving life at the Bridge.

Arsenal: seven wins, three draws – 21 scored, 8 conceded, four clean sheets. Absolutely flying and looking like genuine title contenders.

Home vs Away Form

Chelsea at home (last 10): 70% win rate, averaging 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded – Stamford Bridge is a fortress again.

Arsenal away (last 10): 70% win rate, averaging 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded – they’ve been lethal on the road.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
62%
Model view for this specific match

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For xG Against

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Two of the best attacks in the league against two of the stingiest defences – goals look likely.

Head-to-Head

Recent games have been tight: Chelsea won 2-0 at the Bridge in January 2025, Arsenal won 2-0 at the Emirates in October 2024, and the previous three were all draws or one-goal margins. Four of the last five have gone over 2.5 goals.

KickTheBookies Prediction

Two sides in red-hot form, both scoring freely and defending like their lives depend on it. Home advantage and recent history at the Bridge just tip it for Chelsea, but it’ll be close.

Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Arsenal

Betting Tips

Main pick: Over 2.5 goals – both teams scoring for fun and recent H2Hs delivering.

Value angle: Chelsea draw no bet – home record too strong to ignore.

Double chance: Chelsea or draw – Arsenal have struggled at the Bridge lately.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Over – screaming value at current prices.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/Chelsea – these games often start cagey.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – combined average over 12.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 5 – leaning over 4.5 cards.

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

Here are the key numbers behind the clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!

Average goals scored per game
Chelsea
1.80
Arsenal
2.10
Average goals conceded per game
Chelsea
1.20
Arsenal
0.80
Clean sheet percentage
Chelsea
30%
Arsenal
40%
Average shots per game (total)
Chelsea
13.50
Arsenal
14.50
Average shots on target per game
Chelsea
5.00
Arsenal
5.50
Average possession
Chelsea
55%
Arsenal
60%
Average corners per game
Chelsea
6.00
Arsenal
6.50
Average yellow cards per game
Chelsea
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Expected goals (xG) per game
Chelsea
1.60
Arsenal
1.80
xG against per game
Chelsea
1.30
Arsenal
1.00
Average set piece goals scored
Chelsea
0.25
Arsenal
0.30
Average set piece goals conceded
Chelsea
0.20
Arsenal
0.15
Average pass completion rate
Chelsea
85%
Arsenal
88%
Average tackles per game
Chelsea
12.00
Arsenal
11.50
Average interceptions per game
Chelsea
7.00
Arsenal
6.50
Goal timing (first half vs second half)
Chelsea
50% / 50%
Arsenal
55% / 45%
Average under/over 2.5 goals per game (% over 2.5)
Chelsea
50%
Arsenal
55%
Average points per game
Chelsea
1.80
Arsenal
2.20
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FAQ: Chelsea vs Arsenal – All the Key Stats
Who will win Chelsea vs Arsenal?

Chelsea – home advantage and recent form at the Bridge just edge it.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Chelsea 2-1 Arsenal.

What time does Chelsea vs Arsenal kick off in the UK?

4:30 pm GMT, Sunday 30 November 2025.

Where is Chelsea vs Arsenal being played?

Stamford Bridge, London.

What are the recent head-to-head results?

Four of the last five have gone over 2.5 goals, with Chelsea winning the most recent at the Bridge.

Who has the better recent form?

Arsenal slightly – 2.20 points per game vs Chelsea’s 1.80.

How many goals does Chelsea score per game on average?

Chelsea average 1.80 goals scored per game over their last ten.

How many clean sheets has Arsenal kept?

Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last ten games.

Will both teams score (BTTS)?

Model gives 62% chance – goals look likely.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over – both teams in red-hot scoring form.