Everton vs Manchester United | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips | 23 Feb 2026

Form vibe: Everton solid but low-scoring lately, grinding results; United on a good run with wins and control.

Expected tone: Everton sitting in and countering, United dominating possession and probing.

Key swing: If United get an early goal the game opens; if Everton hold firm it stays cagey.

This Monday night clash has proper Premier League feel — Everton at their new place will be loud and organised, looking to frustrate and nick something. United arrive with momentum, better numbers in attack and a habit of grinding out results.

The atmosphere will push Everton on, but United’s possession base and shot creation should see them dictate for spells.

Tactically it’s about discipline vs flair: Everton low xGA but limited output, United higher xG and possession but occasional away wobbles.

1) Possession vs counters: United average 55-58% and 14-16 shots, while Everton sit deeper and concede fewer big chances but create less.

2) Defensive work: Both active in tackles/interceptions — United slightly higher, leading to scrappy moments.

3) Corners and set-pieces: United’s volume (5.5-6.5 corners) could hurt if Everton struggle aerially.

Everton’s profile is gritty: 1.1 scored, 1.15 conceded — they don’t blow teams away but stay in games.

United more potent: 1.8 scored, 1.0-1.1 conceded — better balance and points haul.

Everton at home: Tough to beat lately, with draws and wins in recent games — they make it awkward for visitors.

Manchester United away: Strong, picking up points consistently with control and goals.

Flow: United to probe, Everton to absorb and hit on breaks.

United’s scoring rate stands out, but Everton keep it tight enough to stay competitive.

United create more expected chances, but Everton’s low xGA keeps it competitive.

United have had the better of recent meetings, with wins and draws common, but Everton grabbed a shock away win last time out. Games tend to be competitive, often with one side edging it.

Trend: United dominant historically, but Everton can frustrate at home.

United’s better numbers and form give them the nod, but Everton’s home grit could make it close — expect United to nick it late or grind a narrow win.

Prediction: Everton 1-2 Manchester United

Key numbers for smarter builders — goal trends, defensive work, shots, and control.