Levante vs Villarreal | La Liga Preview & Betting Tips | 18 Feb 2026
Form trend: Levante inconsistent and chasing points; Villarreal steadier and higher up the table.
Expected tone: Away control spells vs home side looking to counter and disrupt rhythm.
Key swing: First goal matters hugely — Levante can sit in if ahead, Villarreal dangerous if chasing.
Levante head into this one needing points more than pretty football, while Villarreal arrive with stronger overall numbers and more attacking reliability. The home crowd should bring intensity early, especially given recent history between the sides.
Tactically, Levante are likely to stay compact and look for transition opportunities, while Villarreal’s higher shot output points toward longer phases of pressure.
1) Shot quality gap: Villarreal average higher shot volume and more on target, suggesting greater sustained pressure.
2) Defensive exposure: Levante’s xG against sits high, which hints at vulnerability when pinned back.
3) Second-half momentum: Both teams score more after the break, so expect potential momentum swings late on.
Levante’s recent run shows flashes — wins mixed with difficult losses — and overall they concede more than they score. Villarreal’s trajectory looks steadier, with consistent attacking output and a stronger points return.
Levante at home: more stubborn than their overall numbers suggest, capable of frustrating stronger sides.
Villarreal away: generally comfortable playing on the break and creating chances without dominating possession.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against
Recent meetings have swung both ways. Villarreal have produced big wins, but Levante have also taken victories at home. The pattern shows volatility rather than one-way dominance, which adds uncertainty despite the current form gap.
Villarreal’s stronger attacking consistency and higher points return give them the edge, but Levante’s home energy should keep this competitive for long stretches.
Prediction: Levante 1–2 Villarreal
Main pick: Away win
Value angle: Villarreal win & under 4.5 goals
Double chance: Villarreal or draw
Over/under 2.5: Under 2.5 goals
Half-time/full-time: Draw / Villarreal
Over/under 9.5 corners: Over 9.5 corners
Yellow cards: Over 4.5 cards
Below are the core numbers shaping goal, card and result angles.
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Who will win Levante vs Villarreal?
Villarreal are the slight favourites based on stronger attacking numbers and consistency.
What is the prediction?
Levante 1–2 Villarreal.
Will both teams score?
The model leans around 57%, making it very possible.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Slight lean under due to Levante’s lower scoring profile.
What is the best bet?
Back Villarreal to win.
Are corners likely?
Combined corner averages suggest a healthy chance of hitting double figures.