Mallorca vs Osasuna | La Liga Preview & Betting Tips | 29 Nov 2025
Mallorca and Osasuna are both sitting comfortably in mid-table and playing the same game: stay hard to beat, nick a goal when you can, and grind out results. Neither side is in any danger and neither is pushing for Europe, so this one is all about pride and three useful points. The Son Moix crowd will be right behind the hosts, but Osasuna always bring a noisy away following too.
Mallorca line up in a compact 5-3-2 / 3-5-2 that loves to sit deep and counter. Osasuna go 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 and are equally happy to let the opposition have the ball and hit them on the break.
Both teams are among the lowest-scoring in La Liga – Mallorca average 1.00 goals scored, Osasuna just 0.80. They concede almost exactly the same (1.10 each) and both rely heavily on set pieces and second-half goals. Possession is split roughly 50-50, with neither side pressing particularly high. This has 0-0 or 1-0 written all over it.
Mallorca over the last ten: three wins, three draws, four defeats – 10 scored, 11 conceded, two clean sheets. Very tough to break down at home.
Osasuna: three wins, four draws, three defeats – 8 scored, 11 conceded, two clean sheets. Hard to beat but rarely set the world alight.
Mallorca at home (last 10): 40% win rate, averaging 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded – Son Moix is a difficult place to visit.
Osasuna away (last 10): only 20% wins, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded – they struggle to create on the road.
Goals Against (per game)
Both teams create very little and defend solidly – this is classic low-xG, low-scoring La Liga fare.
Recent meetings have been tight: 1-1 in Pamplona last May, 1-0 Mallorca at home in December 2024, 1-0 Osasuna away in August 2024, 2-1 Mallorca at home in March 2024 and 1-1 in November 2023. Four of the last five finished under 2.5 goals.
Two sides that love a draw and hate conceding. Mallorca have the slight edge at home and are marginally better in attack. One goal should be enough – and the hosts usually find it at Son Moix.
Prediction: Mallorca 1-0 Osasuna
Main pick: Under 2.5 goals – both teams’ games go under 60-70% of the time.
Value angle: Mallorca draw no bet – home advantage without the risk of a smash-and-grab draw.
Double chance: Mallorca or draw – Osasuna have won just twice away all season.
Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – screaming value.
Half-time/full-time: Draw/Draw or Draw/Mallorca – these games rarely see early goals.
Over/under 9.5 corners: Under – combined average under 10.
Yellow cards prediction: Around 4-5 bookings – leaning over 4.5 cards.
Here are the key numbers behind tonight’s clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!
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Who will win Mallorca vs Osasuna?
Mallorca – home advantage in a very low-scoring fixture.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Mallorca vs Osasuna?
Mallorca 1-0 Osasuna.
What time does Mallorca vs Osasuna kick off in the UK?
1:00 pm GMT, Saturday 29 November 2025.
Where is Mallorca vs Osasuna being played?
Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca.
What are the recent head-to-head results Mallorca vs Osasuna?
Four of the last five finished under 2.5 goals, with three draws.
Who has the better recent form Mallorca or Osasuna?
Mallorca slightly – 1.10 points per game vs Osasuna’s 1.00.
How many goals does Mallorca score per game on average?
Mallorca average 1.00 goal scored per game over their last ten.
How many goals does Osasuna concede per game on average?
Osasuna concede 1.10 goals per game over their last ten.
What is Mallorca’s clean sheet percentage?
Mallorca have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their last ten games.
How many shots does Mallorca average per game?
Mallorca average 11.00 total shots and 3.80 on target per game.
What is Mallorca’s average possession?
Mallorca hold 48% possession on average.
How many corners does Osasuna win per game?
Osasuna average 5.00 corners per game.
What is Mallorca’s xG and xG against?
Mallorca create 1.10 xG and concede 1.30 xG per game.
How many set-piece goals does Mallorca score?
Mallorca score 0.20 set-piece goals per game on average.
What is the average pass completion rate for Osasuna?
Osasuna complete 84% of their passes.
When do Mallorca and Osasuna score most of their goals?
Both teams score more in the second half.
Will both teams score (BTTS) in Mallorca vs Osasuna?
No – model gives only 34% chance.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Mallorca vs Osasuna?
Under – two of the lowest scoring teams in the league.
How many yellow cards are expected in Mallorca vs Osasuna?
Around 4-5 – leaning over 4.5 cards.
How many corners are expected in Mallorca vs Osasuna?
Combined average under 10 – under 9.5 corners the value.