Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City — Premier League, 27 December 2025

A tough post-Christmas test at the City Ground as Forest welcome the reigning champions.

🗞️ Introduction

This is one of those fixtures where context matters. Nottingham Forest have shown they can be stubborn at home and dangerous on the counter, but Manchester City arrive in ruthless form and scoring freely. With the festive schedule squeezing squads, control and game management could be decisive.

The City Ground should be bouncing. Forest fans always bring the noise for the big occasions, and the away end will be well stocked too — this has all the ingredients of a high-tempo Premier League clash.

Forest are likely to keep things compact, happy to give up some possession and attack with purpose when chances open up. City will dominate the ball, stretch the pitch, and look to suffocate Forest with sustained pressure.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Forest average just over 51% possession but their best work often comes without the ball. They score more in the second half than the first, suggesting patience and game management are central to their approach.

Manchester City are relentless. They average over 2.4 goals per game, keep the ball close to 60% of the time, and concede under a goal per match. Their ability to control territory limits opposition shots and gradually wears teams down.

If Forest are going to compete, they’ll need to stay organised early and take advantage of any rare moments when City lose structure.

📋 Form

Nottingham Forest (last 7 available): Four wins, no draws, three defeats. They’ve scored 12 and conceded 8, keeping three clean sheets. Results have swung sharply, with big away wins mixed with heavy defeats.

Manchester City (last 10): Eight wins, no draws, two defeats. They’ve scored 27 and conceded 12, with five clean sheets. Confidence is high and goals are coming from all areas.

📊 Average goals scored per game
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Manchester City
2.41

📊 Average goals conceded per game
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Manchester City
0.94

📊 Clean sheet percentage
Nottingham Forest
18%
Manchester City
47%

📊 Average shots per game
Nottingham Forest
12.29
Manchester City
14.12

📊 Average shots on target per game
Nottingham Forest
3.94
Manchester City
5.53

📊 Average possession
Nottingham Forest
51%
Manchester City
58%

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Forest at home have been competitive, keeping clean sheets against strong sides and growing into games after half-time.

City away from home remain relentless — scoring freely, conceding little, and showing very few signs of vulnerability on the road.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
58%
Model confidence for this match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

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City consistently create more high-quality chances, while Forest sit closer to parity — highlighting the uphill task facing the hosts.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

Manchester City have dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings. Forest have kept games tight at the City Ground, though goals have been hard to come by, with three of the last four there decided by a single goal.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Forest will make this awkward early on, but City’s depth, control and attacking output should tell over 90 minutes.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Manchester City win — form, xG edge and defensive solidity all point one way.

Value angle: Manchester City win to nil — Forest average just one goal per game.

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FAQ: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Manchester City are favourites based on form, xG data and recent head-to-head results.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City.

Where is the match being played?

The City Ground, Nottingham.

Will both teams score?

The model gives a 58% likelihood.

Is this a good match for City to win to nil?

Yes — City keep clean sheets in nearly half of their games.