Qarabağ vs Ajax | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 10 Dec 2025
Qarabağ are punching above their weight in Europe and need a result to keep knockout dreams alive, while Ajax are in a rough patch and can’t afford more slips. The Tofiq Bahramov Stadium will be packed and passionate, with the home crowd making it tough for the visitors.
Qarabağ set up compact and look to hit on the break, while Ajax aim to control possession and build patiently – home side could frustrate the Dutch.
Qarabağ dominate possession at 65% with high pass accuracy, creating solid xG around 1.97 while restricting opponents to just 0.81. Ajax have similar ball control at 58% but leak more quality chances at 1.56 xGA.
Qarabağ over the last ten: strong domestically with plenty of wins and clean sheets, mixed in Europe.
Ajax: inconsistent lately with losses and draws, struggling defensively.
Qarabağ at home: tough to beat, keeping clean sheets and scoring steadily.
Ajax away: vulnerable, conceding regularly and dropping points.
Goals Against (per game)
Qarabağ create more quality chances and defend better – Ajax vulnerable at the back.
These two have only met once before, in last season’s Europa League group stage: Ajax won 3-0 in Baku.
Qarabağ’s solid home form and defensive record could frustrate Ajax’s struggling attack. Home side to nick it in a low-scoring affair.
Prediction: Qarabağ 1-0 Ajax
Main pick: Qarabağ or draw (double chance) – strong at home, Ajax poor lately.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals – Qarabağ tight, Ajax struggling to score.
Double chance: Qarabağ or draw – safe with home record.
Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – defences likely on top.
Half-time/full-time: Draw/Qarabağ – slow burner.
Over/under 9.5 corners: Under – controlled tempo.
Yellow cards prediction: Around 4 – leaning under 4.5 cards.
Here are the key numbers behind the clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!
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Who will win Qarabağ vs Ajax?
Qarabağ or draw – strong at home against struggling Ajax.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
Qarabağ 1-0 Ajax.
What time does Qarabağ vs Ajax kick off in the UK?
5:45 pm GMT, Wednesday 10 December 2025.
Where is Qarabağ vs Ajax being played?
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku.
What are the recent head-to-head results?
Ajax won the only previous meeting 3-0 last season.
Who has the better recent form?
Qarabağ – higher points average and tighter defence.
How many goals does Qarabağ score per game on average?
Qarabağ average 1.85 goals scored per game.
How many clean sheets has Qarabağ kept?
Qarabağ have kept a clean sheet in 44% of games.
Will both teams score (BTTS)?
Model gives 52% chance – low-scoring likely.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Under – tight defences.