Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo | La Liga Preview & Betting Tips | 7 Dec 2025

Real Madrid are still the team to beat in Spain and will be desperate to get back to winning ways at home after a couple of draws. Celta Vigo have been one of the surprise packages this season – scoring goals for fun and sitting comfortably in the top half. The Bernabéu will be packed and bouncing, with a decent away following from Galicia ready to make some noise.

Madrid play their usual high-possession 4-3-3 that presses high and looks to dominate. Celta line up in a flexible 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 that tries to stay compact and hit quickly on the break.

Celta are the league’s entertainers right now – 60 % of their last ten games went over 2.5 goals and they average 1.5 scored themselves. They’re also dangerous from set pieces (0.5 per game). Madrid are tighter at the back (1.0 conceded) and keep four clean sheets in ten, but they’ve been giving up more chances lately and can be vulnerable on the counter.

Madrid over the last ten: six wins, three draws, one defeat – 21 scored, 10 conceded, four clean sheets. Still picking up 1.9 points per game.

Celta: five wins, two draws, three defeats – 15 scored, 17 conceded, two clean sheets. Averaging 1.4 points and playing some lovely stuff going forward.

Madrid at the Bernabéu (last 10 league): 8 wins, 2 draws – averaging 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. Still an absolute fortress.

Celta away (last 10 league): 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats – averaging 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded. They can nick results but usually struggle at the big grounds.

Madrid create far more than Celta and restrict chances better – the gap is clear in the underlying numbers.

Last five meetings have been one-sided: April 2025 – Madrid 4-0 Celta; October 2024 – Celta 0-1 Madrid; March 2024 – Madrid 2-0 Celta; August 2022 – Celta 1-4 Madrid; April 2023 – Madrid 1-0 Celta. Madrid have won the last five at the Bernabéu without conceding a single goal.

Madrid are still the kings at home and have Celta’s number in recent years. Celta will have a go but the Bernabéu should be too much for them.

Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Celta Vigo

Main pick: Real Madrid -1.5 – they’ve smashed Celta at home recently.

Value angle: Over 2.5 goals – Celta games regularly deliver and Madrid score plenty.

Alternative: Madrid win & BTTS – Celta usually nick one but lose.