Sunderland vs Newcastle | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips | 14 Dec 2025
This one needs no hype. Sunderland against Newcastle always brings edge, noise and drama, and the Stadium of Light will be bouncing from long before kick-off.
Sunderland have shown they can compete at this level, grinding out results and staying compact, while Newcastle arrive with stronger numbers and genuine top-half momentum.
Expect a fierce atmosphere, a packed home end, and an away following ready to make themselves heard.
Tactically, Sunderland tend to stay organised and play direct when needed, while Newcastle look to control games through possession and quicker passing patterns.
Sunderland average just 42% possession, one of the lower figures in the league, showing their willingness to defend deep and play without the ball.
Newcastle sit closer to 51% possession and nearly double Sunderland’s shot output, suggesting sustained pressure and territory control.
Both sides rack up similar defensive actions per game, so this could become a scrappy midfield battle rather than a free-flowing contest.
Sunderland’s last ten league games read four wins, three draws and three defeats, with 11 goals scored and 13 conceded. They’ve been competitive, especially against stronger sides, but goals have been hard-earned.
Newcastle come in with five wins, three draws and two defeats, scoring 19 and conceding 12. Form has been solid, and they’ve beaten several top teams along the way.
Sunderland at home have been awkward to play against, winning key games and conceding fewer chances than on the road.
Newcastle away from home average close to two goals scored per game but have also shown vulnerability when pressed aggressively.
Goals Against
xG Against
Newcastle consistently create higher-quality chances, while Sunderland tend to allow more than they generate.
The last five meetings lean Sunderland’s way historically, including a famous FA Cup win earlier this year. Four of the last five were settled by one goal or fewer.
Derby games rarely follow the script, but Newcastle arrive with stronger attacking numbers and better recent form.
Prediction: Sunderland 1–2 Newcastle
Main pick: Newcastle to win – superior xG and shot volume.
Value angle: Both teams to score – derby intensity often leads to chances at both ends.
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Who will win Sunderland vs Newcastle?
Newcastle are slight favourites based on recent form.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
Sunderland 1–2 Newcastle.
Will both teams score?
BTTS is rated as more likely than not.
Is this a derby match?
Yes, this is the Tyne–Wear derby.