Tottenham vs Wolves | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | Premier League | 27th September 2025
Tottenham vs Wolves is set for 27 September 2025 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and feels like a tone-setter at this early stage. The hosts are unbeaten in the league with momentum from a strong September, while the visitors arrive searching for a first top-flight win after a rough opening stretch. Expect a loud home crowd and a committed away following — the stakes are obvious for both sides.
Tactically, the hosts lean into front-foot football: a high line, aggressive pressing, and plenty of ball circulation in a 4-3-3/3-2-5 shape, with full-backs or wingers providing width and a box midfield to control second balls. The visitors prefer a compact 4-4-2/4-3-3 out of possession, looking to counter through the striker and wide runners, while leaning on set-pieces to change the rhythm. It’s territory and pressure from the home side versus vertical transitions from the visitors.
Context matters: the hosts are navigating an injury-hit squad and may again shuffle roles in the front line and back line, whereas the visitors have kept a relatively stable core despite recent defeats. That contrast could tell in-game — especially if the home tempo pins the visitors deep for long spells.
- Control vs counters: the hosts average about 62% possession, routinely pinning teams back with an 86% pass completion and a steady stream of ~6.2 corners per match.
- Shot profiles: the visitors are at roughly 45% possession and around 7.5 shots per game, so expect selective attacks and quick resets rather than volume.
- Dead-ball swing: the hosts score roughly 0.4 set-piece goals per game and allow 0.2; the visitors score about 0.3 but concede near 0.8 — an area the home side can target.
Tottenham last 10: 8–2–0. Goals: 23 for, 5 against (2.3/0.5 per game). Clean sheets: 6/10. The trend: assertive starts, strong game control, and a solid defensive platform even while rotating.
Wolves last 10: 1–2–7. Goals: 10 for, 20 against (1.0/2.0 per game). Clean sheets: 0/10. The trend: long spells without scoring, reliance on counters and set-plays to spark chances.
Tottenham at home (recent sample): six recent home wins on the spin across league and cups, roughly 2.5 goals scored and ~0.3 conceded per game with four clean sheets. The pressing and width create sustained pressure and plenty of box entries.
Wolves away (recent sample): results have been thin, with goals conceded trending above 2.0 per game. Clean sheets have been scarce; the away approach relies on compact lines and quick breaks when the press is beaten.
Goals Against (per game)
The hosts are creating around 1.34 xG per game while allowing ~1.35 xGA; the visitors sit closer to 1.02 xG and 1.57 xGA. That points to a chance-quality edge for the home side, especially if territory and set-pieces stack up.
Across the last five league meetings, it’s been fairly lively: a 4–2 home win for Wolves at Molineux in April 2025, a 2–1 home win for Tottenham in December 2024, a tight 2–1 away win for Wolves in February 2024, another 2–1 home win for Tottenham in September 2023, and a 2–1 Wolves win at Molineux in November 2023. Margins are typically a single goal, and both sides have found ways to edge close contests.
Prediction: 2–1 home win. The hosts’ control, set-piece edge and recent home surge should be enough, even with a stretched squad. The visitors remain dangerous in transition, but sustaining pressure for 90 minutes in this venue is a big ask.
Main Pick: Both Teams To Score — recent meetings often land with goals both ways, and the visitors’ counters plus the hosts’ chance volume keep this live.
Value Play: Tottenham & Over 1.5 Goals — aligns with the hosts’ strong home rhythm and the overall totals profile.
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