Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Valencia vs Mallorca La Liga Preview

Valencia vs Mallorca — La Liga, 19 December 2025

A classic La Liga low-margin fixture at Mestalla, where goals are usually at a premium and patience is everything.

🗞️ Introduction

Valencia come into this one hovering around mid-table, picking up points steadily but rarely blowing teams away. Mestalla has been solid rather than spectacular, with plenty of tight games decided by fine margins.

Mallorca arrive in familiar territory — organised, compact, and very hard to break down. Their matches tend to be scrappy, tactical affairs, and recent head-to-heads suggest another tense night.

Expect a strong home crowd creating pressure from the off, while Mallorca will be happy to soak it up and frustrate for long spells.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Valencia average just under 50% possession and are happy to play without forcing the issue. Their games are structured and cautious, reflected in an 80% under-2.5-goals rate.

Mallorca operate even deeper, with lower possession numbers and one of the best clean sheet rates in the league across recent matches.

Neither side commits many bodies forward, which keeps games tight but leaves little room for error at the back.

📋 Form

Valencia: four wins, three draws, three defeats from the last ten. Ten goals scored, eleven conceded, and four clean sheets. Results have been steady but rarely comfortable.

Mallorca: four wins, three draws, three defeats. Eight goals scored, nine conceded, and five clean sheets. They’re grinding out results rather than chasing games.

📊 Average goals scored per game
Valencia
1.00
Mallorca
0.80

📊 Average goals conceded per game
Valencia
1.10
Mallorca
0.90

📊 Clean sheet percentage
Valencia
40%
Mallorca
50%

📊 Average possession
Valencia
49.2%
Mallorca
44.6%

📊 Expected goals (xG) per game
Valencia
1.24
Mallorca
0.98

📊 xG against per game
Valencia
1.31
Mallorca
1.12

📊 Average points per game
Valencia
1.40
Mallorca
1.50

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Valencia at Mestalla tend to edge games rather than dominate them, averaging just over a goal per match but keeping things organised.

Mallorca away from home are stubborn and difficult to break down, with several recent low-scoring draws on their travels.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

Tip: rotate phone sideways on mobile for best view.


BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
36%
Model view for this specific match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

Tip: rotate phone sideways on mobile for best view.

Neither side creates much above one expected goal per match, which explains the low-scoring trends.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

The last five meetings tell the story — four draws and one narrow Mallorca win. Three of those finished 0–0 or 1–1, and goals have been scarce across recent seasons.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Everything points towards another tight, cagey contest. Valencia may have a slight edge at home, but breaking Mallorca down is never easy.

Prediction: Valencia 1–0 Mallorca

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Under 2.5 goals

Value angle: Valencia draw no bet — home edge in a low-risk spot.

Please gamble responsibly – support here.

⚽ Best Bet: Back Under 2.5 Goals

⚽ KickTheBookies Premium

KickTheBookies gives you free match previews for every game — but our Premium Members get exclusive access to high confidence bets with suggested stakes.

🚀 Start Your Free Trial


⬅ Go back to Football – Home