Israel vs Italy | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 8th September 2025
Israel welcome Italy on Monday 8 September 2025 in World Cup qualifying. Both sides started the window with big wins — Israel hit four away to Moldova, while Italy cruised past Estonia — so there’s a bit of early pace in Group action. Expect a lively home crowd and a sizeable travelling support; the pattern should be Italy on the ball, Israel compact and ready to spring.
Tactically, Israel have leaned on a 4-2-3-1/5-4-1 hybrid: disciplined mid-block, direct outlets in wide areas, and sharp set-plays. Italy are comfortable in a 4-3-3 that can flip to a 3-2-5 in attack — strong rotations down the left with Federico Dimarco’s delivery, midfield runners (Barella/Frattesi), and a revolving cast of central forwards attacking the near post.
Israel (named for this window): Daniel Peretz, Yoav Gerafi, Sharif Kaiouf; Eli Dasa, Raz Shlomo, Idan Nachmias, Dor Peretz, Denny Gropper, Gilad Saren, Roy Revivo; Ramzi Safouri, Gadi Kinda, Oscar Gloukh, Manor Solomon, Dan Biton, Neta Lavi, Mahmoud Jaber; Dor Turgeman, Dean David, Tai Baribo, Anan Khalaili, Liel Abada. No fresh injuries reported.
Likely roles: Gloukh between the lines, Solomon for carry and one-v-one threat, Dasa for overlaps and crossing, with Baribo or Turgeman running the channels.
Italy (named for this window): Gianluigi Donnarumma, Guglielmo Vicario, Alex Meret; Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Buongiorno, Federico Dimarco, Matteo Gabbia, Raoul Bellanova; Nicolò Barella, Sandro Tonali, Davide Frattesi, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Manuel Locatelli, Samuele Ricci, Bryan Cristante; Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui, Moise Kean, Lorenzo Lucca, Federico Chiesa, Mattia Zaccagni. Doubt: Gianluca Scamacca (knee) not involved.
Likely roles: Chiesa stretching the right, Dimarco supplying from deep and high, Barella and Frattesi arriving late; striker job shared between Retegui/ Raspadori.
Israel (last 10 competitive): 4 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats. Totals of 15 scored and 10 conceded suggest a touch more punch than their long-term average, helped by the 4–0 and 4–1 away wins. Clean sheets in three of the ten. Trend: they improve after the interval and carry a counter threat when the game loosens.
Italy (last 10 competitive): 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat. Around 20 for and 9 against. Four clean sheets in that run and a strong over-2.5 tilt with the wider sample. Trend: control through midfield, quick switches to isolate the winger, and real menace from cut-backs and late midfield runners.
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Metric | Israel | Italy |
---|---|---|
Average goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Average goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Clean sheet percentage | 20% | 30% |
Average possession | 42% | 56% |
Shots per match (total / on target) | 8.5 / 3.2 | 13.0 / 5.0 |
Expected goals per match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Pass completion | 78% | 87% |
Average points per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Israel at home: generally compact and tough to roll over; they keep scores modest and lean on quick breaks and set-pieces to change the mood. Clean-sheet chances rise if they control Italy’s crossing lanes.
Italy away: confident travellers, happy to dominate territory and turn pressure into sustained crossing and cut-back situations. When they score first, they tend to manage the game expertly.
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Goals Against
- Oscar Gloukh (Israel) — pockets of space behind the Italian midfield are his playground; slides runners through and carries a set-piece threat.
- Manor Solomon (Israel) — direct runner who can drag full-backs into bad areas and win fouls in dangerous zones.
- Federico Chiesa (Italy) — vertical threat and ball-carry; first step opens the whole flank and creates cut-backs.
- Nicolò Barella (Italy) — tempo, turnovers, and late penalty-area arrivals; often the difference in tight away games.
Israel 0–2 Italy. Israel will be organised and dangerous in moments, but Italy’s control, depth in wide delivery, and midfield quality should tell over 90 minutes.
Main pick: Italy win & under 3.5 goals — Italy’s control plus Israel’s compact shape points to a professional, low-margin away success.
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