Israel vs Italy | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 8th September 2025

🗞️ Introduction

Israel welcome Italy on Monday 8 September 2025 in World Cup qualifying. Both sides started the window with big wins — Israel hit four away to Moldova, while Italy cruised past Estonia — so there’s a bit of early pace in Group action. Expect a lively home crowd and a sizeable travelling support; the pattern should be Italy on the ball, Israel compact and ready to spring.

Tactically, Israel have leaned on a 4-2-3-1/5-4-1 hybrid: disciplined mid-block, direct outlets in wide areas, and sharp set-plays. Italy are comfortable in a 4-3-3 that can flip to a 3-2-5 in attack — strong rotations down the left with Federico Dimarco’s delivery, midfield runners (Barella/Frattesi), and a revolving cast of central forwards attacking the near post.

👕 Team News

Israel (named for this window): Daniel Peretz, Yoav Gerafi, Sharif Kaiouf; Eli Dasa, Raz Shlomo, Idan Nachmias, Dor Peretz, Denny Gropper, Gilad Saren, Roy Revivo; Ramzi Safouri, Gadi Kinda, Oscar Gloukh, Manor Solomon, Dan Biton, Neta Lavi, Mahmoud Jaber; Dor Turgeman, Dean David, Tai Baribo, Anan Khalaili, Liel Abada. No fresh injuries reported.

Likely roles: Gloukh between the lines, Solomon for carry and one-v-one threat, Dasa for overlaps and crossing, with Baribo or Turgeman running the channels.

Italy (named for this window): Gianluigi Donnarumma, Guglielmo Vicario, Alex Meret; Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Buongiorno, Federico Dimarco, Matteo Gabbia, Raoul Bellanova; Nicolò Barella, Sandro Tonali, Davide Frattesi, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Manuel Locatelli, Samuele Ricci, Bryan Cristante; Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui, Moise Kean, Lorenzo Lucca, Federico Chiesa, Mattia Zaccagni. Doubt: Gianluca Scamacca (knee) not involved.

Likely roles: Chiesa stretching the right, Dimarco supplying from deep and high, Barella and Frattesi arriving late; striker job shared between Retegui/ Raspadori.

📋 Form

Israel (last 10 competitive): 4 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats. Totals of 15 scored and 10 conceded suggest a touch more punch than their long-term average, helped by the 4–0 and 4–1 away wins. Clean sheets in three of the ten. Trend: they improve after the interval and carry a counter threat when the game loosens.

Italy (last 10 competitive): 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat. Around 20 for and 9 against. Four clean sheets in that run and a strong over-2.5 tilt with the wider sample. Trend: control through midfield, quick switches to isolate the winger, and real menace from cut-backs and late midfield runners.

📊 Key Match Stats

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Metric Israel Italy
Average goals scored per match 1.2 1.8
Average goals conceded per match 1.2 1.0
Clean sheet percentage 20% 30%
Average possession 42% 56%
Shots per match (total / on target) 8.5 / 3.2 13.0 / 5.0
Expected goals per match 1.0 1.7
Pass completion 78% 87%
Average points per match 1.3 1.7

Average goals scored per match
Israel
1.2
Italy
1.8
Average goals conceded per match
Israel
1.2
Italy
1.0
Clean sheet percentage
Israel
20%
Italy
30%
Average possession
Israel
42%
Italy
56%
Shots per match (total / on target)
Israel
8.5 / 3.2
Italy
13.0 / 5.0
Expected goals per match
Israel
1.0
Italy
1.7
Pass completion
Israel
78%
Italy
87%
Average points per match
Israel
1.3
Italy
1.7

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Israel at home: generally compact and tough to roll over; they keep scores modest and lean on quick breaks and set-pieces to change the mood. Clean-sheet chances rise if they control Italy’s crossing lanes.

Italy away: confident travellers, happy to dominate territory and turn pressure into sustained crossing and cut-back situations. When they score first, they tend to manage the game expertly.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence

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Goals For
Goals Against

Kickthebookies BTTS likelihood: 46%


🥅 Players to Watch
  • Oscar Gloukh (Israel) — pockets of space behind the Italian midfield are his playground; slides runners through and carries a set-piece threat.
  • Manor Solomon (Israel) — direct runner who can drag full-backs into bad areas and win fouls in dangerous zones.
  • Federico Chiesa (Italy) — vertical threat and ball-carry; first step opens the whole flank and creates cut-backs.
  • Nicolò Barella (Italy) — tempo, turnovers, and late penalty-area arrivals; often the difference in tight away games.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Israel 0–2 Italy. Israel will be organised and dangerous in moments, but Italy’s control, depth in wide delivery, and midfield quality should tell over 90 minutes.

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Italy win & under 3.5 goals — Italy’s control plus Israel’s compact shape points to a professional, low-margin away success.


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