Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Predictions & Betting Tips – Serie A 26 April 2026
This Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction is not a straightforward home win call. Fiorentina sit 15th with 36 points, while Sassuolo are 10th on 45 points and have a stronger points-per-game return.
Fiorentina average around 1.15-1.16 goals scored and 1.36-1.38 conceded per game. Sassuolo are slightly better going forward at 1.24 scored per game and slightly tighter defensively at 1.33 conceded.
The head-to-head record points towards goals. Four of the last five meetings produced at least three goals, including Fiorentina’s 5-1 home win in April 2024 and Sassuolo’s 3-1 win in December 2025. That makes both teams to score and over 1.5 goals natural angles.
Main Pick: Both Teams To Score
Both sides average over 1.1 goals per game, both concede over 1.3, and recent head-to-head meetings have often opened up.
Value Angle: Draw
Fiorentina are slight home favourites, but Sassuolo have the better league position and points-per-game return, so a draw feels very live.
Safer Bet: Over 1.5 Goals
Four of the last five head-to-head meetings cleared this line, and both teams have enough attacking output to get this beyond one goal.
Protection Pick: Fiorentina Double Chance
Fiorentina have the home edge, recent league improvement and a strong home head-to-head win in the latest meeting at this ground.
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Moderate confidence overall. Goals markets look cleaner than the match winner because Sassuolo have the stronger season return, but Fiorentina have home advantage.
Sassuolo won the reverse fixture 3-1 in December 2025, but Fiorentina hammered Sassuolo 5-1 in the last meeting at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
The recent record is mixed, but usually lively. Four of the last five meetings had both teams scoring, and four of the last five also went over 2.5 goals.
1) Fiorentina usually see a little more of the ball, averaging around 52% possession.
2) Sassuolo are slightly stronger on season output, with better goals scored, goals conceded and points-per-game numbers.
3) Neither defence is elite, so one early goal could quickly turn this into an open contest.
Fiorentina: D-W-W-L-W in the latest listed run across league and Europe. The league form has improved, with the Lazio win standing out.
Sassuolo: W-L-W across the latest listed league sample. They are inconsistent, but wins over Como and Cagliari show they carry a threat.
Fiorentina at home: recent home results include wins over Crystal Palace and Lazio, which gives them useful confidence at Artemio Franchi.
Sassuolo away: less reliable, with the recent 2-1 defeat at Genoa showing why the away win is not the cleanest angle.
This looks close. Fiorentina have the home edge and better recent league momentum, but Sassuolo’s season numbers are stronger and they already beat Fiorentina this campaign.
Prediction: Fiorentina 1-1 Sassuolo
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Who will win Fiorentina vs Sassuolo?
Draw is the lean, with Fiorentina double chance the safer route because of home advantage.
Best bet for Fiorentina vs Sassuolo?
Both teams to score looks the strongest betting angle.
Will both teams score?
Yes is the lean, with recent head-to-head meetings regularly producing goals at both ends.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
Fiorentina 1-1 Sassuolo.