Sevilla vs Elche | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 12th September 2025
Friday night lights in Nervión as Sevilla welcome newly-promoted Elche. The hosts have spluttered out of the blocks this term, while Elche arrive with a tidy start and plenty of belief after a strong summer. Expect a crackling Ramon Sánchez-Pizjuán – demanding, impatient, and right behind Sevilla from the off – with a noisy away contingent sensing an upset.
Tactically, Sevilla should be their familiar 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 hybrid: lots of ball, full-backs high, inside forwards buzzing around a focal striker. Elche have been comfortable in a compact 4-3-3, happy to keep it and then spring quickly through the channels. It’s control versus control—who wins the middle third, wins the night.
Sevilla
- Doubts/Injuries: Akor Adams (muscle), Chidera Ejuke (hamstring), Joan Jordán (back), Ramón Martínez (hamstring).
- Likely approach: Odysseas Vlachodimos should continue in goal. With options at centre-back, Fábio Cardoso and Marcão give aerial presence, while Gabriel Suazo or José Ángel Carmona provide width. In midfield, the blend of Djibril Sow / Nemanja Gudelj for balance and progression. Up top, Isaac Romero or Alexis Sánchez can spearhead, with Rubén Vargas and Juanlu Sánchez supplying pace and crosses.
Elche
- Doubts/Injuries: Adam Boayar (muscle), Bambo Diaby (muscle), Adrià Pedrosa (thigh), Josan (hamstring), Yago Santiago (cruciate).
- Likely approach: Iñaki Peña on loan brings composure at the back. A back four led by Víctor Chust and Pedro Bigas looks solid, with Adrià Pedrosa if fit adding thrust on the left. Midfield pivots around Federico Redondo and Marc Aguado, with Grady Diangana and Germán Valera offering dribble-first threat. One of André Silva or Álvaro Rodríguez should lead the line.
Sevilla (recent 9 competitive results, using end of 2024/25 + 2025/26 start): 3 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats. Goals: 16 scored and 13 conceded (about 1.78 for, 1.44 against). Clean sheets are rare (1 in 9), and matches have been lively – they give you a chance, but they create plenty too.
Elche (last 10, blending late 2024/25 + 2025/26 start): 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat. Goals: 16 scored and 6 conceded (around 1.6 for, 0.6 against). That’s the profile of a side with control and resilience. Even stepping up a level, their structure has travelled well so far.
Narrative: Sevilla are threatening in the final third but still ironing out defensive habits. Elche’s base is solid; they keep games within reach and pounce when moments arrive.
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| Stat | Sevilla | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Average goals scored (this season) | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Average goals conceded (this season) | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet percentage (this season) | 0% | 33% |
| Average possession | 52% | 59% |
| Expected goals per game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Average points per game (this season) | 0.33 | 1.67 |
Sevilla: 1.67 | Elche: 1.33
Sevilla: 2.33 | Elche: 0.67
Sevilla: 0% | Elche: 33%
Sevilla: 52% | Elche: 59%
Sevilla: 1.50 | Elche: 1.20
Sevilla: 0.33 | Elche: 1.67
Sevilla at home (last 10, incl. last season run-in): approximately 5 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats. Around 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded on average. They still carry that on-top feel in Nervión, but individual lapses are a theme early doors.
Elche away (last 10, incl. promotion run): roughly 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats. About 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded. They keep games tight and take set-piece moments seriously.
Goals For
Goals Against
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- Sevilla — Isaac Romero: Direct, aggressive movement between centre-back and full-back; makes Sevilla’s penalty-box play snap into life.
- Sevilla — Rubén Vargas: Carries the ball under pressure and commits defenders. Expect him to target the inside pockets off the flank.
- Elche — Federico Redondo: Calm metronome. If he sets the passing tempo, Elche can take the sting out of Sevilla’s press.
- Elche — Grady Diangana: Drifts into clever spaces, draws fouls, and creates crossing angles. A key out-ball to relieve pressure.
Sevilla’s attacking metrics are fine; the issue is control once they take the lead. Elche’s shape and counter-threat feel made for this matchup. If Sevilla tidy up the transitions, they edge it; if not, it’s nervy. Prediction: 1–1 Draw.
- Main Pick: Both Teams to Score. Sevilla’s recent run points to chances at both ends; Elche carry enough threat to contribute.
- Value Bet: Draw. Elche’s defensive numbers and Sevilla’s early-season variance suggest a tight, low-margin game.
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