Lecce vs Cagliari | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 19th September 2025

Friday night football in Serie A brings Lecce against Cagliari on 19 September 2025 at the Stadio Via del Mare. Both sides have made positive starts, with Lecce unbeaten at home so far and Cagliari showing resilience on their travels. It’s an early-season test that could shape momentum heading into autumn.

Expect a lively crowd in Lecce, with strong home backing and a noisy travelling contingent from Sardinia. The atmosphere should be fierce for this southern clash.

Tactically, Lecce tend to lean on a structured 4-3-3 with patient possession and probing wide play, while Cagliari look comfortable in a compact 4-4-2 that builds resilience at the back and quick counters. It’s a contrast of styles: one side enjoying more of the ball, the other happy to soak and spring.

• Lecce’s possession approach: averaging 55% possession and an 85% pass completion rate, they favour working the ball patiently before pushing numbers wide.
• Cagliari’s defensive resilience: conceding just 0.3 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets in three, they’re built on strong defensive shape and direct breaks.
• Second-half emphasis: both sides score the majority of goals after the break (Lecce 55%, Cagliari 60%), suggesting the tempo rises later on.

Lecce (last 10 competitive): mixed but competitive, with wins over Parma, Sassuolo and Atalanta in recent months. Average 0.33 goals for and 0.67 against per game in 25/26 so far, with one clean sheet from three. They’re tight matches, with few goals either way.

Cagliari (last 10 competitive): consistent, unbeaten in their last five, with solid results against Napoli and Monza. Averaging 0.7 goals for and just 0.3 conceded per game this season. They’ve posted two clean sheets in three and sit on 1.67 points per game.

Lecce: 0.33
Cagliari: 0.70

Lecce: 0.67
Cagliari: 0.30

Lecce: 33%
Cagliari: 67%

Lecce: 55%
Cagliari: 39%

Lecce: 5.0
Cagliari: 4.0

Lecce: 2.0
Cagliari: 2.0

Lecce: 12.0 (4.0 on target)
Cagliari: 12.0 (4.0 on target)

Lecce: 1.2
Cagliari: 1.7

Lecce: 4.3
Cagliari: 2.5

Lecce: 0.3
Cagliari: 0.3

Lecce: 0.3
Cagliari: 0.3

Lecce: 85%
Cagliari: 81%

Lecce: 15.0
Cagliari: 14.0

Lecce: 45% first half / 55% second half
Cagliari: 40% first half / 60% second half

Lecce: 67% under / 33% over
Cagliari: 100% under / 0% over

Lecce: 1.33
Cagliari: 1.67

Lecce at home (last 10): improving, with clean sheets against top opposition last season and a win over Parma this term. They look harder to beat in front of their own fans.

Cagliari away (last 10): stubborn, with narrow wins and low-scoring draws. They travel with discipline and tend to keep games close, conceding very few.

Lecce’s xG output (1.2) shows they can craft chances but are allowing high expected totals (4.3). Cagliari, meanwhile, post stronger xG For (1.7) and more controlled xG Against (2.5), giving them the statistical edge.

Recent meetings have been cagey. In January 2025, Cagliari ran out 4-1 winners at home, while May 2024 and January 2024 both ended level in Lecce. This fixture tends to be close in Puglia, though Cagliari took the upper hand earlier this year.

Lecce will try to dictate with possession, but their low goal output contrasts sharply with Cagliari’s defensive strength and efficiency. The visitors look better balanced right now and could edge a tight affair.

Prediction: Lecce 0–1 Cagliari

Main pick: Under 2.5 goals — both sides trend low scoring (all three of Cagliari’s games under, two of Lecce’s under).

Value bet: Cagliari to win 1–0 — fits their defensive profile and Lecce’s low scoring output.