Stuttgart vs St Pauli | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 19th September 2025

Bundesliga action on 19 September 2025 as Stuttgart host St Pauli — a proper early-season barometer between a side aiming high and a newcomer arriving with no fear. Stuttgart’s start has swung between sharp attacking spells and occasional looseness, while St Pauli have kept things organised and efficient. Expect a loud night in Bad Cannstatt with a packed away end making themselves heard.

Stylistically this sets up as controlled possession against compact counter. The hosts are happiest building in a 4-3-3, circulating through midfield and pushing full-backs on. The visitors look solid in a 4-4-2 that becomes a quick-breaking unit when the ball turns over. It’s a neat contrast — one wants the ball, the other wants the space.

• Hosts on the ball: around 58% possession and 87.7% pass completion. They create ~13 shots a game with ~5 on target, leaning on width and late arrivals from midfield.
• Visitors’ compact block: roughly 45% possession yet still ~10 shots per match. Defensive numbers pop — 0.33 conceded per game and 67% clean sheets so far in the league.
• Late-game tilt: both teams skew to second-half goals (hosts 50% after the break; visitors 60%). Expect more transitions as legs tire.

Stuttgart (last 10 competitive): lively and high-event — scorelines like 3–1, 4–4, 2–2 tell the story. Across the sample they’re at roughly 1.67 for and 1.67 against per match; Over 2.5 has landed in 67% of league games this term. No clean sheets so far in the league.

St Pauli (last 10 competitive): controlled and stubborn — 2.33 points per game in the league, two clean sheets from three. Averaging 1.33 for, 0.33 against; only 33% of league games have gone over 2.5.

Stuttgart: 1.67
St Pauli: 1.33

Stuttgart: 1.67
St Pauli: 0.33

Stuttgart: 0%
St Pauli: 67%

Stuttgart: 58%
St Pauli: 45%

Stuttgart: 5.0
St Pauli: 5.0

Stuttgart: 2.0
St Pauli: 2.0

Stuttgart: 13.0 (5.0 on target)
St Pauli: 10.0 (3.7 on target)

Stuttgart: 1.5
St Pauli: 1.2

Stuttgart: 1.5
St Pauli: 1.0

Stuttgart: 0.33
St Pauli: 0.33

Stuttgart: 0.33
St Pauli: 0.00

Stuttgart: 87.7%
St Pauli: 80%

Stuttgart: 14.0
St Pauli: 15.0

Stuttgart: 50% first half / 50% second half
St Pauli: 40% first half / 60% second half

Stuttgart: 33% under / 67% over
St Pauli: 67% under / 33% over

Stuttgart: 1.00
St Pauli: 2.33

Stuttgart at home (last 10): usually high tempo with plenty of attempts and territory, but can leave gaps when pushing on. Goals tend to come in bunches once momentum arrives.

St Pauli away (last 10): disciplined shape, patient in build-up, and happy to grind. Clean sheets feature regularly; margins are tight, often decided by a single goal.

The hosts typically create around 1.5 xG and allow roughly the same; the visitors sit nearer 1.2 xG for and 1.0 xGA. On paper that suggests a slight chance-quality edge for the visitors’ defence if they keep the game in their rhythm.

The recent five meetings (2019–2022) were tight more often than not, with multiple draws and one-goal margins. When played in Stuttgart, the hosts have edged a couple by two goals in the past, but the overall pattern leans competitive and often low-margin.

Possession and volume should favour the hosts, but the visitors’ structure and recent defensive returns are hard to ignore. If the game turns transitional, both can land a punch; if it stays compact, the visitors’ control without the ball travels well.

Prediction: Stuttgart 1–1 St Pauli

Main pick: Both Teams To Score — hosts’ matches regularly feature goals at both ends; visitors create enough on transitions to contribute.

Value bet: Draw — styles may cancel out for long spells and the visitors’ defensive record points to fine margins.