Villarreal vs Osasuna | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 20th September 2025

Villarreal vs Osasuna lands in La Liga on 20 September 2025 with both sides in decent nick. The hosts have started tidily in the league and come into this after a narrow midweek setback in Europe, while the visitors got a confidence-boosting win last weekend. Expect a full stadium and a lively travelling section — this fixture usually brings a proper contest.

On the pitch, Villarreal tend to keep the ball and build in a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 shape, pushing the full-backs on and combining through midfield. Osasuna are happier without it, compact in a 4-4-2/4-2-3-1, breaking with direct runners and using set-pieces to force moments. It’s control versus resilience, and the first goal feels huge.

• Villarreal average 57% possession and around 12 shots a game; they draw opponents out, then look to play into the half-spaces before switching play to isolate the wide runner.

• Osasuna sit nearer 44% possession, prioritising rest defence and quick transitions. Their chance creation skews towards early crosses and second-ball strikes rather than long spells of pressure.

• Set-plays could matter. Villarreal average 0.3 set-piece goals for per game, while Osasuna are comfortable defending their box and then springing counters from clearances.

Villarreal (last 10): consistent and efficient — roughly W-D-L: 8-2-0 across the reference run, with about 18 goals for and 10 against based on per-game averages. Clean sheets around the 30% mark. Trends: strong second-half output (about 55% of goals after the break), and they keep the ball well.

Osasuna (last 10): sturdy and pragmatic — roughly W-D-L: 6-2-2, around 13 scored and 8 conceded off the averages, with a high clean-sheet rate (50%). Trends: lower-scoring pattern overall, but clinical when transitions open up.

Villarreal: 1.8  |  Osasuna: 1.25

Villarreal: 1.0  |  Osasuna: 0.75

Villarreal: 30%  |  Osasuna: 50%

Villarreal: 57%  |  Osasuna: 44%

Villarreal: 5.0  |  Osasuna: not available

Villarreal: 2.0  |  Osasuna: not available

Villarreal: 12.0 total (4.5 on target)  |  Osasuna: not available

Villarreal: 1.5 xG for, 1.2 xG against  |  Osasuna: 1.03 xG for, xG against not available

Villarreal: 0.3 scored, 0.2 conceded  |  Osasuna: not available

Villarreal: 85%  |  Osasuna: not available

Villarreal: 15.0  |  Osasuna: not available

Villarreal: 45% first half, 55% second half  |  Osasuna: not available

Villarreal: Over 2.5 in 60%  |  Osasuna: Over 2.5 in 0%

Villarreal: 2.0  |  Osasuna: 1.5

Villarreal at home: typically assertive, close to two goals per match in their own ground over a broader sample, with comfortable possession and decent control of territory.

Osasuna away: disciplined and secure, leaning on compact distances and quick breaks. Recent away wins in tough environments show they can manage pressure and steal key moments.

Villarreal regularly generate around 1.5 xG and concede near 1.2 xG. Osasuna create closer to 1.03 xG, with limited data on the defensive side, which still points to a slight expected chance gap in favour of the hosts.

Recent meetings lean towards Villarreal. The hosts won 3–1 here in May 2025 and 2–1 away in December 2024. There was a 1–1 draw in May 2024, while Villarreal also won 3–1 at home in December 2023. The upcoming September 2025 clash continues a run where the hosts have taken most of the points.

Osasuna’s shape and discipline will make this a proper grind, but Villarreal’s ball control, set-play threat and recent home edge suggest they can carve out the bigger chances. Expect periods where the visitors carry a punch on the break, yet the hosts to shade it.

Prediction: 2–1 Villarreal.

Main Pick: Villareal to win.

Value Bet: Villarreal to Win & Over 1.5 Goals — combines home edge with a sensible goals line given the attacking numbers.