Werder Bremen vs Freiburg | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 20th September 2025

Werder Bremen host Freiburg on 20 September 2025 in a fixture that already matters for tone-setting. The hosts need a reset after a rough run, while the visitors have started with purpose and goals. Expect a full house on the river and a noisy away end — two sides who won’t die wondering.

On the board, the hosts tend to a 4-2-3-1 that wants the ball (around 56% possession) but has been open in transition. The visitors mirror that shape but press with better spacing, break quickly, and deliver early from wide areas. Control versus counter with plenty of running power — this usually means chances at both ends.

• Possession vs verticality: The hosts average ~55.7% possession and 84.3% pass completion; the visitors are a touch lower on the ball (51.3%) but more direct once they win it.
• Chance quality: The visitors post around 1.8 xG for per game against 1.2 xGA; the hosts sit nearer 1.2 xG for and 2.0 xGA — a clear expected-chance gap if trends hold.
• Game flow: Both sides tilt second-half for goals (hosts 60% after the break; visitors 55%), so late swings are very live.

Werder Bremen (recent competitive, 5-match sample): 0-1-4. Goals: 5 for, 11 against (~1.0–2.2 per game). Clean sheets: 0/5. Pattern: decent spells on the ball, but transition protection and set-piece concessions have hurt.

Freiburg (recent competitive, 5-match sample): 4-0-1. Goals: 14 for, 3 against (~2.8–0.6 per game across the five listed comps; season averages ~2.33–1.0). Clean sheets: 2/5. Pattern: quick starts, efficient finishing, and strong wide delivery.

Werder Bremen at home (recent competitive sample): patchy — goals conceded from restarts and counters have been an issue, with few clean sheets and a tendency to chase games after the break.

Freiburg away (recent competitive sample): more controlled — compact mid-block, sharp on the first pass forward, and good value on set-plays. BTTS has been mixed, but overall away performances have carried threat.

Across the last five league meetings: a home win for Werder in early 2024, two wins for Freiburg across 2022–23, one draw in 2021, and a strong Leipzig-style scoreline hasn’t featured here — margins are usually within a couple of goals. Small lean to Freiburg overall in that stretch, but Bremen did take the most recent meeting at this venue.

Prediction: Werder Bremen 1–2 Freiburg.

Reasoning: the visitors’ xG profile (1.8 for / 1.2 against), better game control away from home, and the hosts’ issues defending transitions and restarts point to an away edge — with the hosts still capable of finding a goal.

Main pick: BTTS. The game state setup — hosts needing a response and the visitors’ direct threat — supports both finding the net, even if the away side carries the stronger chance quality.

Value angle: Freiburg to win & Over 2.5 Goals. Over 2.5 shows up frequently for both (60% / 67%), and the visitors’ finishing plus set-piece threat can tilt a high-tempo game.