Newport vs Gillingham

Newport host Gillingham in League Two on 20 September 2025, with both sides looking to keep pace in the promotion hunt after mixed early-season form. It’s shaping up as a clash of contrasting styles: the hosts are usually comfortable sitting a little deeper and springing forward, while the visitors tend to see more of the ball and look to work it wide. The home crowd at Rodney Parade will bring plenty of energy, while the travelling support from Kent is expected to be strong in numbers.

The hosts average around 46% possession and are happy to let opponents have the ball, focusing instead on set-pieces and quick breaks. They tend to commit more bodies forward from corners, which explains why nearly a third of their goals this season have come via dead-ball situations. The visitors, meanwhile, average closer to 52% possession and look to build through midfield, funnelling a high percentage of their attacks down the right channel. Defensively, they press more aggressively in the middle third, which can leave them open to switches of play.

Across their last 10 competitive matches, Newport have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, scoring 13 goals and conceding 14, with 3 clean sheets. That works out at 1.3 goals for and 1.4 against per game. Gillingham’s last 10 reads 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 16 goals scored and 12 conceded, and 4 clean sheets. That’s 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against on average. The hosts have shown resilience but sometimes struggle to turn draws into wins, while the visitors have been slightly more clinical in tight games.

Newport: 1.3 | Gillingham: 1.6

Newport: 1.4 | Gillingham: 1.2

Newport: 30% | Gillingham: 40%

Newport: 46% | Gillingham: 52%

Newport: 10.4 / 3.2 | Gillingham: 11.6 / 3.8

Newport: 1.25 | Gillingham: 1.42

Newport: 1.38 | Gillingham: 1.21

Newport: 45% Over | Gillingham: 50% Over

Newport: 1.4 | Gillingham: 1.7

At Rodney Parade, Newport have won 4 of their last 10 home matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13, with 3 clean sheets. Away from home, Gillingham have picked up 5 wins from 10, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against, with 4 clean sheets. The visitors look more consistent on their travels, while the hosts have been slightly unpredictable at home.

Gillingham are creating slightly more expected chances per game, while Newport concede marginally more, suggesting the visitors may shade the overall balance of play.

These two sides last met regularly in League Two across the 2023/24 and 2024/25 campaigns. In their most recent five clashes, Newport picked up two wins, Gillingham claimed two victories, and one ended level. The games have tended to be tight, often decided by a single goal, with Rodney Parade producing some of the more dramatic meetings in recent years.

It looks set to be close, with Gillingham’s slightly stronger away form matched by Newport’s competitive home record. A narrow draw feels the most likely outcome. Prediction: 1–1 draw.

Main Pick: Both Teams To Score — the data points to chances at both ends, with each side averaging over a goal per game.
Value Pick: Draw at full-time — both have shown a tendency to share the spoils in tight matches.