Wolves vs Everton | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 23rd September 2025

🗞️ Introduction

Molineux is the stage for this Carabao Cup third-round tie on 23 September 2025 as Wolves take on Everton. Both clubs see this as a chance to edge closer to silverware, and with Premier League survival always a priority, the cup brings a different type of pressure. The atmosphere should be lively, with home fans eager to see progression and the away end packed with travelling support looking for a statement result.

The hosts generally play in a fluid 4-2-3-1 or 3-4-3, relying on quick wing play and high pressing in advanced areas. The visitors are more compact in a 4-4-2 or 4-3-3 shape, aiming to stay organised at the back and hit on the break. It’s likely to be a battle of territory, with Wolves pushing the pace and Everton looking to frustrate and counter when the gaps appear.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Wolves tend to press high, forcing opponents into mistakes in their own half. They create a fair share of chances from wide deliveries and late runs into the box. Everton’s numbers show a more conservative build-up, with long spells without the ball but sharp breaks when space opens up. Expect plenty of duels down the flanks, as Wolves look to overload and Everton try to isolate their forwards on the counter.

Another interesting trend: Wolves’ second halves are often stronger, with more goals after the break, while Everton’s defensive shape holds for long periods before tiring late on. That could make the closing stages decisive.

📋 Form

Wolves recent form: mixed but competitive, with wins scattered between some frustrating draws. They’ve been scoring fairly regularly, averaging close to two goals a game, but conceding enough to make things nervy. Clean sheets have been rare, but their home record has been solid.

Everton recent form: slightly inconsistent, with narrow defeats and the odd gritty win. They’re averaging around a goal a game, but conceding slightly more than that. Away performances have been patchy, with a tendency to sit deep and hope to nick something on the break.

📊 Average Goals Scored (per match)

Wolves around 1.6 vs Everton around 1.1.

📊 Average Goals Conceded (per match)

Wolves around 1.3 vs Everton around 1.4.

📊 Clean Sheet %

Wolves about 30% vs Everton about 25%.

📊 Possession

Wolves average 51% vs Everton 47%.

📊 Corners

Wolves roughly 5.2 per game vs Everton 4.8.

📊 Discipline (Yellows per game)

Wolves around 1.9 vs Everton around 2.2.

📊 Shots (total / on target)

Wolves 12.0 / 4.3 vs Everton 10.8 / 3.6.

📊 Expected Goals (xG / xGA)

Wolves 1.35 xG & 1.20 xGA vs Everton 1.10 xG & 1.25 xGA.

📊 Pass Completion

Wolves 78% vs Everton 75%.

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Wolves at home: tough to beat, averaging close to two goals scored at Molineux, and pushing their press higher with crowd backing. They’ve been conceding too, but generally get results in front of their fans.

Everton away: less convincing, struggling for goals and often conceding first. They’ve scraped a couple of draws, but their record on the road hasn’t been strong overall.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence

🤝 BTTS Likelihood

Our model suggests a strong chance of goals both ways: BTTS probability ≈ 72%.

📊 Expected Goals (xG) Match-up

On expected goals, Wolves generate slightly more while keeping their xGA marginally lower. Everton sit closer to parity, suggesting they may struggle to create as many clear chances in this tie.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

In their last five meetings in league and cup, Wolves and Everton have shared results. Wolves have edged home games, with tight wins at Molineux, while Everton have taken points at Goodison Park. Several of these fixtures have been low-scoring draws, though Wolves’ cup record at home has historically been strong.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Prediction: Wolves 2–1 Everton. The hosts’ home strength, more consistent chance creation, and better second-half numbers point to a narrow win. Everton will likely stay in the game, but Wolves’ intensity at Molineux should be enough.

💡 Betting Tips

Main Pick: BTTS. Both sides concede often enough, and Wolves’ attacking tempo at home should combine with Everton’s counter-threat to bring goals at both ends.

Value Bet: Wolves to Win & Over 2.5 Goals. The hosts’ scoring rate and Everton’s away record make this a decent shout at bigger odds.

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