Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | Bundesliga | 27th September 2025
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt on 27 September 2025 at Borussia-Park looks a proper early-season temperature check. The hosts have steadied with points away from home but still search for rhythm in the final third, while the visitors roll in scoring freely despite the odd defensive wobble. Expect a loud crowd in Mönchengladbach with a strong travelling section from Frankfurt — lively from the off.
Tactically, the hosts lean towards a 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 hybrid: mid-block, quick counters, and a decent set-piece threat. The visitors prefer a bold 3-4-2-1/4-3-3 look depending on phase, with aggressive pressing triggers and plenty of width, turning possession into quick combinations around the box. It’s measured control versus front-foot dynamism.
- The hosts average 51% possession and about 1.10 xG per game, with a fair chunk of chances coming from restarts (~0.40 set-piece goals, est.).
- The visitors sit around 58% possession, produce roughly 1.75 xG and allow ~1.43 xGA — expansive in attack, occasionally open when countered.
- Passing lanes: the visitors funnel plenty through wide rotations and cut-backs; the hosts look to spring the striker and wide runners into space behind the wing-backs.
Gladbach last 10: 4–3–3. Goals: 12 for, 12 against (1.2/1.2 per game). Clean sheets: 3/10. Story so far: better on the break than in settled possession, with margins often tight and low-to-mid totals.
Frankfurt last 10: 9–0–1. Goals: 32 for, 10 against (3.2/1.0 per game). Clean sheets: 3/10. Story so far: ruthless in transition and set-plays, though the high tempo sometimes leaves space the other way.
Gladbach at home (recent sample): a mix of tight games — clean sheets do appear, but goals for have ebbed and flowed, often relying on set-pieces or quick breaks rather than long spells of pressure.
Frankfurt away (recent sample): strong record with multiple multi-goal wins; they carry threat on counters and restarts, though the high line can leave space if pressed back.
Goals Against (per game)
The visitors consistently create around 1.7–1.8 xG per game, while the hosts sit closer to ~1.1 xG. That points to a chance-quality edge for Frankfurt if they pin the back line in.
The last five league meetings have swung back and forth: a draw in February 2025, a home win for Gladbach in October 2024, and three Frankfurt victories across 2023–2024. Margins are usually one or two goals, with both sides finding spells of control at different venues.
Prediction: 1–2 away win. The hosts’ structure and set-piece threat keep them in it, but the visitors’ higher shot volume and xG profile — plus sharper transitions — tilt this by a single goal.
Main Pick: Frankfurt to Win — stronger recent form (9 wins in 10) and superior chance creation trends.
Value Play: Over 2.5 Goals — visitors’ matches skew high-scoring, and the hosts can contribute via counters and set-pieces.
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