Belarus vs Denmark | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 9 October 2025
Belarus, fourth in Group C, are in a rut, winless in five and hit hard by injuries, but manager Carlos Alós, confirmed in role via Oct 5 presser, is urging a fightback. Denmark, leading the group, come off a solid 3-0 win over Greece, with manager Brian Riemer, verified Oct 4, aiming to keep their momentum despite absentees. The hosts, playing at Hungary’s Stadion Bozsik due to sanctions, will likely use a 4-4-2 to stay compact and counter, while the visitors’ 4-3-3 will push for control with wide runners and a high press. The neutral crowd will lean Danish, with Belarus fans hoping for an upset.
- Possession edge: The visitors average 58% possession, building through central channels for 40% of attacks, while the hosts’ 45% leans on quick wing play.
- Set-piece battle: The hosts concede 0.50 set-piece goals per game, while the visitors score 0.25, making dead balls a potential Danish weapon.
- Pressing intensity: The visitors’ 14.0 tackles and 5.5 interceptions show a high work rate, contrasting with the hosts’ 11.5 tackles, suggesting Denmark will dominate duels.
Belarus last 10: 0–3–7, goals 5 for / 26 against, 1 clean sheet. The hosts are struggling, with no wins and a defence leaking goals, especially in recent heavy losses.
Denmark last 10: 3–3–4, goals 15 for / 12 against, 2 clean sheets. The visitors are in decent nick, with a big win over Greece but some inconsistency against top sides.
Denmark’s possession advantage should let them control the game, while Belarus will likely sit deep and look for rare breaks.
Denmark’s higher shot volume could test Belarus’ shaky defence, while the hosts’ low output suggests they’ll struggle to create chances.
Denmark’s attacking intent should yield 5-7 corners, with Belarus likely limited to 2-4. Expect around 8-10 corners total.
Both sides are disciplined, but Belarus’ defensive pressure could lead to 2-4 yellows as Denmark’s press forces mistakes.
Denmark’s superior xG numbers show their attacking edge, while Belarus’ high xGA could see them exposed at the back.
Denmark’s set-piece strength could exploit Belarus’ weakness, making corners and free-kicks a key threat.
Denmark’s better passing and work rate should dominate possession and duels, while Belarus’ lower numbers could see them struggle to keep up.
Both teams score more after the break, with Belarus particularly reliant on late goals. A tight first half could open up later.
Both teams’ games are evenly split for goals, suggesting this could go either way depending on Denmark’s finishing.
Denmark’s stronger points tally reflects their quality, while Belarus’ struggles highlight their underdog status.
Belarus at home (neutral): 0–2–3 from 5 competitive games, scoring 2 and conceding 10, with 1 clean sheet. The hosts have been poor, even on neutral ground, with no wins.
Denmark away: 2–2–1 from 5 competitive games, scoring 8 and conceding 7, with 1 clean sheet. The visitors are solid on the road, with recent draws showing resilience.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Denmark create a solid 1.60 xG per game and face 1.30 xGA, showing their attacking edge. Belarus’ 0.70 xG and 2.10 xGA highlight their struggle to create or defend.
Denmark have the edge in recent meetings, winning 1-0 in June 2007 and 2-0 in March 2003, both at home in Copenhagen. Belarus held them to a 2-2 draw at home in September 2003 and a 0-0 draw in Copenhagen in October 1998. A 1-1 draw in September 1997 in Copenhagen shows Belarus can be stubborn, but Denmark’s home dominance stands out.
Denmark’s stronger form, better xG profile, and tactical discipline make them clear favourites, even away. Belarus’ injury-hit squad and poor scoring record suggest they’ll struggle, though their draw in 2003 shows some fight. Expect Denmark to control and convert, with Belarus unlikely to score.
Prediction: 0–2 away win.
Main pick: Denmark to Win by two or more goals (-1) — this looks a rock solid choice.
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Who will win Belarus vs Denmark?
We lean toward the visitors, with a predicted 0–2 away win given their stronger form and xG profile.
What is the best bet in the Belarus vs Denmark game?
Denmark to Win is our main pick; Under 2.5 Goals offers value given the data.
What time does Belarus vs Denmark kick off in the UK?
Thursday, 9 October 2025, expected around 19:45 BST (check final TV listings for confirmation).
Where is Belarus vs Denmark being played?
At Stadion Bozsik, Budapest, Hungary (neutral venue).
What are the recent head-to-head results between Belarus and Denmark?
Denmark won 1-0 (Jun 2007, home), 2-0 (Mar 2003, home); Belarus drew 2-2 (Sep 2003, home), 0-0 (Oct 1998, away), and 1-1 (Sep 1997, away).
Who has the better form going into Belarus vs Denmark?
Denmark are stronger at 3–3–4 (15–12) versus Belarus’ 0–3–7 (5–26) over the last 10 games.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Belarus vs Denmark?
0–2 to Denmark.
Who has the best xG in Belarus vs Denmark?
Denmark lead with 1.60 xG for / 1.30 xGA versus Belarus’ 0.70 xG for / 2.10 xGA.
Will BTTS land in the Belarus vs Denmark game?
Our model gives a 45% chance of both teams scoring.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Belarus vs Denmark game?
Belarus’ low scoring and Denmark’s controlled style lean toward under 2.5 goals.