Belgium vs North Macedonia | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 10 October 2025
Belgium, top of Group J, are flying after 6-0 and 4-0 wins, with manager Rudi Garcia praising their “perfect start” on Oct 5, though injuries are a concern. North Macedonia, second after a 5-0 win and a loss to Belgium, have their manager Blagoja Milevski eyeing a shock on Oct 4, despite absences. The hosts will likely use a 4-3-3, dominating possession and pressing high, while the visitors’ 4-2-3-1 will sit compact and look to counter. The Brussels faithful will create a cracking atmosphere, but North Macedonia’s supporters will bring some noise.
- Possession battle: Belgium’s 60% possession dwarfs North Macedonia’s 45%, with 40% of their attacks through central channels versus the visitors’ 35% down the flanks.
- Set-piece edge: Belgium score 0.30 set-piece goals per game, while North Macedonia concede 0.15, suggesting dead balls could be key.
- Shot volume: Belgium’s 15.0 shots (5.5 on target) far outpace North Macedonia’s 10.5 (3.5 on target), showing a clear attacking threat.
Belgium last 10: 6–1–3, goals 21 for / 7 against, 5 clean sheets. The hosts are in top form, with big wins over weaker sides but stumbles against top nations.
North Macedonia last 10: 3–4–3, goals 10 for / 7 against, 3 clean sheets. The visitors are solid, with a big win over Liechtenstein, but struggle on the road.
Belgium’s high possession could pin the visitors back, but North Macedonia’s compact setup might frustrate them.
The hosts’ shot volume could overwhelm the visitors’ defence, especially given their higher xG.
Belgium may earn 6-8 corners, with North Macedonia likely getting 3-5, totaling around 9-12 corners.
The visitors’ higher booking rate could lead to a scrappy game, with 3-5 yellows likely.
Belgium’s superior xG and low xGA highlight their attacking and defensive strength, while North Macedonia’s balanced numbers suggest resilience.
Belgium’s set-piece threat could exploit the visitors, who are solid but less potent from dead balls.
Belgium’s crisp passing and defensive work rate could dominate, but North Macedonia’s grit keeps them competitive.
Both teams score evenly across halves, but Belgium’s early pressure could lead to first-half goals.
Belgium’s high-scoring games suggest a lively contest, but North Macedonia’s low-scoring tendency could keep it tight.
Belgium’s higher clean sheet rate could help them shut out the visitors’ modest attack.
Belgium’s strong points tally reflects their form, while North Macedonia’s draws limit their haul.
Belgium at home: 3–1–1 from 5 competitive games, scoring 12 and conceding 4, with 3 clean sheets. The hosts are formidable at King Baudouin Stadium.
North Macedonia away: 0–2–3 from 5 competitive games, scoring 0 and conceding 6, with 1 clean sheet. The visitors struggle to score on the road.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Belgium consistently create around 2.00 xG per game and face 0.80 xGA, showing a strong attacking and defensive edge. North Macedonia’s 1.00 xG and 0.90 xGA suggest they’ll struggle to match the hosts’ output.
Belgium have dominated recent meetings: a 1-0 win in Skopje (Sep 2025), 2-0 victories in 2013 and 2006, and a 1-1 draw in Skopje (2007). North Macedonia managed a 2-2 draw in Brussels (2007), showing they can occasionally frustrate the hosts.
Belgium’s superior xG, home form, and recent head-to-head edge make them clear favourites, despite injuries. North Macedonia’s resilience and low-scoring games could keep it tight, but the hosts’ attacking quality should shine. Expect a comfortable win with a possible clean sheet.
Prediction: 2–0 home win.
Main pick: Belgium to cover a 1 goal handicap — their 2.00 xG, 50% clean sheet rate, and home form make them strong favourites.
Value angle: Belgium to Win & Under 3.5 Goals — North Macedonia’s low xG (1.00) and 70% under 2.5 rate suggest a controlled, low-scoring win.
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Who will win Belgium vs North Macedonia?
We lean toward Belgium, with a predicted 2–0 home win given their strong form and xG advantage.
What is the best bet in the Belgium vs North Macedonia game?
Belgium to cover a 1 goal handicap is our main pick; Belgium to Win & Under 3.5 Goals offers value at 40% BTTS likelihood.
What time does Belgium vs North Macedonia kick off in the UK?
Friday, 10 October 2025, expected around 19:45 BST (check final TV listings for confirmation).
Where is Belgium vs North Macedonia being played?
At King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels, Belgium.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Belgium and North Macedonia?
Belgium won 1-0 (Sep 2025, Skopje), 2-0 (2013, Skopje), 2-0 (2006, Skopje); drew 1-1 (2007, Skopje), 2-2 (2007, Brussels).
Who has the better form going into Belgium vs North Macedonia?
Belgium at 6–1–3 (21–7) outshine North Macedonia’s 3–4–3 (10–7) over the last 10 games.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Belgium vs North Macedonia?
2–0 to Belgium.
Who has the best xG in Belgium vs North Macedonia?
Belgium lead with 2.00 xG for / 0.80 xGA versus North Macedonia’s 1.00 xG for / 0.90 xGA.
Will BTTS land in the Belgium vs North Macedonia game?
Our model gives a 40% chance of both teams scoring.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Belgium vs North Macedonia game?
Belgium’s 60% over 2.5 rate meets North Macedonia’s 70% under rate, leaning toward Under 3.5 Goals with Belgium’s control.