West Ham vs Newcastle | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 2 November 2025
West Ham are stuck at the foot of the table with just four points from nine, leaking goals left and right in their worst start for over half a century. Nuno Espírito Santo is under the cosh, but a boost comes with key midfielder Paqueta cleared of charges. Newcastle sit comfy in 12th on 12 points, fresh off five wins in six across all comps including big European scalps. The Stadium should be buzzing — home fans willing a turnaround, away end loud as ever. West Ham might dig in with a compact 4-2-3-1 to soak pressure and hit counters; Newcastle could go 4-3-3, pressing high and exploiting the flanks to stretch a leaky backline.
- Possession battle: West Ham hover around 47% on the ball but could drop lower as Newcastle’s 51% average edges territory forward.
- Defensive fragility: The hosts concede 2.3 per game with a high xGA of 1.6, often exposed in transitions; Newcastle rack up 13 shots a match and keep xGA at 0.9 through solid pressing.
- Chance volume: Newcastle create 1.5 xG per outing — expect them to probe wide channels, while West Ham rely on scraps at 0.8 xG.
West Ham last 10: 1–1–8, goals 9 for / 23 against, clean sheets 1. It’s been a tough slog, with just one win and a habit of conceding in bunches.
Newcastle last 10: 6–1–3, goals 20 for / 8 against, clean sheets 5. They’re clicking, keeping things tight at the back while finding the net regularly.
West Ham struggle to find the net consistently, while Newcastle are more clinical up top.
The hosts’ backline is leaking badly; Newcastle stay solid and limit chances.
Newcastle shut out half their opponents; West Ham rarely keep it clean.
A close contest on the ball, but Newcastle might shade it and control tempo.
Newcastle earn more restarts; expect around 10-11 total in this one.
A bit scrappy; could see 3-4 bookings overall.
Newcastle pepper the goal more; West Ham need to be sharper.
Quality gap shows; Newcastle create better chances.
Newcastle hustle more; both tidy on the ball.
Both see plenty of action; games often hit three or more.
Newcastle grind out results; West Ham are scraping by.
West Ham at home: winless this season with 0 wins from 4, shipping goals and no clean sheets — the Stadium hasn’t been a fortress.
Newcastle away: 0 wins but 3 draws from 4, keeping it tight with 1.0 goals for/against average — solid but not ruthless on the road.
Goals Against (per game)
Newcastle’s attack outpaces West Ham’s leaky defence, but the hosts could nick something if they tighten up.
xG Against (per game)
Newcastle edge the chance quality at 1.5 xG for and just 0.9 against; West Ham’s 0.8/1.6 shows the mismatch.
Recent clashes have been lively: Newcastle edged a 1-0 away win at the London Stadium in March 2025, but West Ham hit back with a 2-0 at St. James’ in November 2024. Before that, Newcastle won 4-3 home in March 2024, a 2-2 draw at West Ham in October 2023, and a 5-1 thrashing away in April 2023. Goals galore — four of five over 2.5 — but Newcastle have the edge lately.
West Ham’s woes continue with injuries and leaky defence, while Newcastle ride momentum despite away hiccups. The visitors should control and exploit gaps, but the hosts might scrap one back.
Prediction: 1–2 away win.
Main pick: Newcastle to Win — stronger form, better xG, and West Ham’s poor run.
Value angle: Over 2.5 Goals — both see 70% of games hit this, with leaky defences and lively H2Hs.
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Who will win West Ham vs Newcastle?
Newcastle look the likelier, riding good form against a struggling host side.
What is the best bet in the West Ham vs Newcastle game?
Newcastle to win stands out; over 2.5 goals offers value too.
What time does West Ham vs Newcastle kick off in the UK?
2:00 PM GMT on Sunday 2 November 2025.
Where is West Ham vs Newcastle being played?
London Stadium.
What are the recent head-to-head results between West Ham and Newcastle?
Newcastle won 1-0 away last time; before that, West Ham 2-0 away, Newcastle 4-3 home, 2-2 draw, Newcastle 5-1 away.
Who has the better form going into West Ham vs Newcastle?
Newcastle with 6-1-3 last 10; West Ham 1-1-8.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for West Ham vs Newcastle?
1-2 to Newcastle.
Who has the best xG West Ham vs Newcastle?
Newcastle at 1.5 for / 0.9 against; West Ham 0.8 / 1.6.
Will BTTS in the West Ham v Newcastle game?
50% likelihood per model.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the West Ham vs Newcastle game?
Leaning over, with 70% frequency for both sides.