Liverpool vs Real Madrid | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 4 November 2025
Liverpool chase a statement win to back up their win against Aston Villa following a very worrying spell of form, while Real Madrid aim to maintain their strong start to the season. Anfield will be rocking with home fans, Madrid support travelling in numbers. Liverpool press high in 4-3-3; Madrid control in 4-3-3 with quick counters. Liverpool fans will be hoping they have turned a corner, but Real Madrid is one of the toughest tests they could possible face. Aston Villa caused their own downfall with some crazy playing out from the back. Real Madrid won’t be as silly and whilst they will play possession based football they won’t take the same risks and are simply better at keeping the ball than Villa.
- Ball share: Liverpool average 59% possession and attack wide; Madrid 66% through midfield.
- Chance quality: Liverpool create 1.8 xG from breaks; Madrid 2.3 centrally.
- Set pieces: Liverpool score 0.3 from dead balls; Madrid 0.4.
Liverpool last 10: 4–2–4, goals 19 for / 17 against, clean sheets 2. Mixed, leaky defence.
Madrid last 10: 8–1–1, goals 25 for / 9 against, clean sheets 5. Strong, high scoring.
Madrid sharper in attack.
Madrid tighter.
Madrid more shutouts.
Madrid dominate the ball.
Madrid force more; total around 14.
Even discipline; 4 cards likely.
Madrid more shots.
Madrid create better chances.
Madrid stronger from dead balls.
Madrid tidier, Liverpool busier.
Madrid early, Liverpool even.
Madrid games higher scoring.
Madrid picking up more.
Liverpool at home: 60% win rate with 6 wins from 10, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.5 against, 3 clean sheets — solid but vulnerable.
Madrid away: 80% win rate with 8 wins from 10, averaging 2.6 goals for and 0.8 against, 5 clean sheets — dominant.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Real Madrid average 2.3 xG, Liverpool 1.8, showing Madrid’s superior chance creation.
Real Madrid lead the recent head-to-head with 4 wins to Liverpool’s 1 in the last 5 meetings. The most recent in 2023 saw Madrid win 1-0 at home and 5-2 away in the Champions League. Earlier ties were split. Madrid are strong against Liverpool.
Liverpool’s home press meets Madrid’s attack; goals are expected but Madrid should edge it. Liverpool will get nervy if (when) Real Madrid score considering their recent poor form. I expect Real to dominate the ball here.
Prediction: 1–2 away win.
Main pick: Real Madrid to Win — form, H2H, xG edge.
Value angle: Over 2.5 Goals — high scoring trends.
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Who will win Liverpool vs Real Madrid?
Madrid edge it — think 1–2.
What is the best bet in the Liverpool vs Real Madrid game?
Real Madrid to Win; Over 2.5 Goals value.
What time does Liverpool vs Real Madrid kick off in the UK?
8:00 PM GMT on Tuesday 4 November 2025.
Where is Liverpool vs Real Madrid being played?
Anfield, Liverpool.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Liverpool and Real Madrid?
Madrid lead 4-1 in last 5.
Who has the better form going into Liverpool vs Real Madrid?
Madrid 8-1-1 last 10; Liverpool 4-2-4.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Liverpool vs Real Madrid?
1–2 to Real Madrid.
Who has the best xG Liverpool vs Real Madrid?
Madrid at 2.3 for / 1.0 against; Liverpool 1.8 / 1.5.
Will BTTS in the Liverpool v Real Madrid game?
65% likelihood per model.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Liverpool vs Real Madrid game?
Leaning over with high scoring.