Crvena Zvezda vs Lille | Europa League Preview & Betting Tips | 6 November 2025
Crvena Zvezda vs Lille — UEFA Europa League, Thursday 6 November 2025 (Belgrade). Group-stage points feel massive here: Zvezda are looking to steady the European ship after two tough away nights in Portugal, while Lille rock up on the back of a strong Ligue 1 patch. The Rajko Mitić will be fierce — a huge home crowd, heat from the Delije, and a lively away end too.
Shape & approach: Zvezda’s 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 hybrid loves front-foot territory and volume shooting. Lille operate in a tidy 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 as well, keeping the ball with purpose (86.3% pass completion) and breaking at pace when lanes open. Expect a proper tussle for midfield control — both average 58% possession.
Injury news: Final squads will be confirmed close to kick-off; monitor official channels on the day. No verified long-term changes to the general approach for either side.
- Territory vs control: Both average 58% possession, but Lille’s 86.3% pass accuracy hints at longer, calmer strings. Zvezda’s threat comes from quicker entries and second balls.
- Shot volume differential: Zvezda let fly at 22.33 shots (7.8 on target) per game — high output. Lille are more selective at 17.0 (5.2 on target) but efficient, especially when attacking space.
- Dead-ball edge: Zvezda average around 0.8 set-piece goals per match; Lille around 0.7. Corners will matter with Zvezda drawing 6.5 per game.
Crvena Zvezda (last 10): 7–2–1. Results include draws vs Radnik (1–1) and Celtic (1–1), a heavy domestic run of wins, plus European away defeats at Porto (1–2) and Braga (0–2). Goals are flowing: multiple 4+ home wins in that stretch.
Lille (last 10): 5–2–3. Big league wins over Metz (6–1) and a solid clean sheet vs Angers (1–0). Europe has been eventful — victories over Brann (2–1) and Roma away (1–0), but a 3–4 thriller vs PAOK.
Clean sheets: Zvezda’s season CS rate sits at 20.7%; Lille’s at 35.7%. Zvezda’s games trend high-event; Lille mix control with the odd end-to-end burst.
Zvezda’s home slate inflates the season rate — they regularly hit multi-goals in Belgrade. Lille’s 2.29 is powered by a few big league wins but travels reasonably well.
Zvezda concede a touch less on average, but Lille’s defensive numbers are trending up after recent clean sheets.
Lille have the higher shutout clip; Zvezda’s open style trades some defensive control for pressure upfield.
Don’t be shocked if Lille shade the ball on the night given their passing efficiency.
Corner count projection lands around 10–11 overall, with Zvezda’s pressure spells likely to drive the number.
Expect roughly 3–5 cards depending on game state; Lille’s games carry a bit more needle.
Shot volume advantage to Zvezda; Lille prefer quality over quantity and punish in transition.
Zvezda create at volume; Lille’s xGA control is stronger, which could compress chance quality.
Both carry a dead-ball punch. First contact and second phases are vital here.
Zvezda win more duels; Lille keep the ball a fraction better. The midfield squeeze will decide who strings phases.
Both sides tend to grow after the break — live for second-half swings.
The matchup leans goal-friendly on the numbers.
Zvezda’s domestic consistency is clear; Lille’s points rate reflects tougher league parity.
Zvezda at home: frequent multi-goal wins and heavy chance creation — the Rajko Mitić effect is real.
Lille away: mixed but competitive — a statement win at Roma shows they can manage tight European away nights.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Zvezda’s xG profile is punchy at 2.58 for and 1.45 against; Lille’s is steadier at 1.90 for and 1.13 against — the gap suggests goals both ways are live, with Lille typically limiting big chances a shade better.
There have been two recent competitive meetings between these clubs, producing one Lille win and one draw. The sample is small, but it underlines Lille’s comfort in tighter European fixtures while Zvezda remain difficult hosts.
Belgrade energy will give Zvezda a proper shove and the hosts carry serious volume, but Lille’s control and in-game management travel well. We’re expecting momentum swings, with both sides creating.
Prediction: 2–2 draw.
Main pick: Both Teams To Score — Zvezda BTTS hit rate across the last 10 is high and Lille’s recent European ties have opened up.
Value angle: Over 2.5 Goals — profiles align (Zvezda 75.9% over rate; Lille 57.1%).
Need support? Please see our Responsible Gambling page.
AK Bets are an excellent bookmaker. Join here and get up to £100 in free bets.
KickTheBookies gives you free match previews for every game — but our Premium Members get exclusive access to high confidence bets with suggested stakes. Join today for just £10/month with a 10-day free trial.
Who will win Crvena Zvezda vs Lille?
Too close to split confidently — our call is a 2–2 draw given both teams’ profiles.
What is the best bet in the Crvena Zvezda vs Lille game?
Both Teams To Score is our main selection, with Over 2.5 Goals a sensible alternative.
What time does Crvena Zvezda vs Lille kick off in the UK?
Thursday, 6 November 2025. Check final TV listings for the confirmed UK kick-off time.
Where is Crvena Zvezda vs Lille being played?
At the Rajko Mitić Stadium, Belgrade, Serbia.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Crvena Zvezda and Lille?
Two competitive meetings in recent years: one Lille win and one draw.
Who has the better form going into Crvena Zvezda vs Lille?
Zvezda are 7–2–1 over the last 10; Lille are 5–2–3. Edge Zvezda on raw results, though the fixtures differ.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Crvena Zvezda vs Lille?
2–2 draw.
Who has the better xG in Crvena Zvezda vs Lille?
Zvezda post around 2.58 xG for / 1.45 xGA; Lille around 1.90 / 1.13.
Will BTTS land in the Crvena Zvezda vs Lille game?
Our model view is about 70%.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Crvena Zvezda vs Lille game?
Leaning Over 2.5 Goals based on both teams’ season profiles.