FC Midtjylland vs Celtic Preview & Betting Tips | Europa League 6 Nov 2025

This clash could shape both sides’ hopes in the league phase, with Midtjylland chasing consistency after a patchy European run and Celtic looking to bounce back from recent away wobbles. Tactically, Midtjylland under Thomas Thomasberg line up in a flexible 3-4-3, pressing high and exploiting width, while Brendan Rodgers sticks with Celtic’s 4-3-3, dominating possession and stretching defences with quick switches.

No major fresh injury concerns for either side heading into this one, giving both managers full squads to pick from.

• Possession mismatch: Celtic hold 71.6% on average, funneling 38% of attacks down the left, while Midtjylland sit at 53% and look to transition fast with 15 tackles per game.
• Set-piece edge: Midtjylland score 0.5 from dead balls and concede 0.3; Celtic manage 0.4 scored and 0.2 against, so restarts could be key in a tight contest.
• Shot volume: Midtjylland fire 15 shots (6 on target) per outing versus Celtic’s 14 (5 on target), hinting at an open game if the Danes disrupt the visitors’ rhythm.

Midtjylland’s last 10: 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, netting 27 and conceding 11, with 3 clean sheets. They’ve been prolific but draw too many at home lately.

Celtic’s recent 10: 8 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 16 and letting in 8, boasting 6 clean sheets. Dominant domestically, but European aways have been trickier.

Midtjylland’s home record in their last 10 at MCH Arena: 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, scoring 21 and conceding 8, with 3 clean sheets. They love attacking here but draws creep in against stubborn sides.

Celtic away over 10 recent trips: 7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, netting 18 but shipping 9, with 4 clean sheets. Solid travellers but vulnerable when possession dips.

Celtic consistently create close to 2.0 xG, Midtjylland at 1.76, showing a slight edge to the visitors in chance quality despite the Danes’ home threat.

The sides met in the 2021 Champions League qualifiers: Celtic won 2-1 at home before a 1-1 draw in Denmark saw the Hoops through 3-2 on aggregate after extra time. Tight, tense affairs with goals both ways—sets the tone for another battle.

Midtjylland’s home firepower meets Celtic’s possession game, but the Danes’ recent draws and Celtic’s clean sheet streak point to goals. Expect the hosts to press hard early, but Celtic’s quality shines through late.

Prediction: 1–2 away win.

Main pick: Celtic to win — better xG (1.99 vs 1.76) and 60% clean sheets give them the edge on the road.

Value angle: BTTS yes — Midtjylland score in 90% of homes, Celtic in 70% of aways, backing the 62% model.