Arsenal vs Bayern Munich | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 26 November 2025

These two have served up some absolute thrillers in recent years and this one feels just as big. Arsenal are flying domestically and looking to make a real statement in Europe, while Bayern arrive scoring for fun and with that familiar air of menace. Mikel Arteta will stick with his controlled 4-3-3, pressing high and building patiently. Vincent Kompany has Bayern playing aggressive, high-line football in a 4-2-3-1, happy to dominate possession and explode forward. Injury news is fairly kind — Arsenal have minor doubts over Bukayo Saka, Bayern are without Jamal Musiala and a couple of minor knocks.

• Possession battle: Bayern average 64% and love to suffocate teams; Arsenal sit at 58.5% and are comfortable ceding a bit if they can hit on the break.
• Chance creation: Bayern generate a huge 2.45 xG per game while restricting opponents to just 0.60; Arsenal are stingy at the back (0.45 xGA) but create less (1.85 xG).
• Set-piece edge: Arsenal score 0.60 from dead balls and have conceded none — a real weapon against Bayern who can be vulnerable there.

Arsenal last 10: 8 wins, 2 draws — 20 goals scored, just 4 conceded with 7 clean sheets. They’ve turned the Emirates into a fortress and are ridiculously hard to score against.

Bayern last 10: 9 wins, 1 draw — 30 goals scored, 6 conceded with 4 clean sheets. Only a draw blotted the copybook; otherwise they’re ruthless.

Arsenal at home (last 5): 100% win rate, averaging 2.8 scored and 0.2 conceded, 4 clean sheets. The Emirates is a nightmare for visitors right now.

Bayern away (last 5): 80% win rate, averaging 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. Still frightening on the road.

Bayern score at will, but Arsenal’s defence is the best in Europe right now — something has to give.

Bayern create far more (2.45 xG) but Arsenal’s defence is watertight (0.45 xGA) — a fascinating clash of styles.

These two love a Champions League showdown. Most recent was last season’s quarter-final: Bayern edged it 1-0 in Munich after a 2-2 draw at the Emirates. Before that, Bayern hammered Arsenal 5-1 home and away in 2017. The only brighter spot for Arsenal was a 1-1 draw in 2014. Bayern have dominated recent meetings.

Arsenal are rock solid at home and have that extra defensive steel this season, while Bayern are scoring for fun but can be got at from set pieces. The Emirates crowd will be massive, and we think Arsenal nick a huge result.

Prediction: 2-1 Arsenal

Main pick: Arsenal to Win — unbeatable at home, best defence in Europe, and Bayern have vulnerabilities.

Value angle: Under 2.5 Goals — Arsenal games are low-scoring (40% over) and their defence is ridiculous.