Paris FC vs Auxerre | Ligue 1 Preview & Betting Tips | 29 Nov 2025

Paris FC vs Auxerre — Ligue 1, 29 November 2025

Two newly-promoted sides go head-to-head at Stade Charléty – both scrapping for every point to stay clear of the drop zone.

Introduction

Paris FC are making their first-ever top-flight appearance and have shown real fight, while Auxerre are back in Ligue 1 after a couple of seasons away. This one feels massive for both – three points could lift either side well clear of trouble. Expect a packed house and a proper relegation six-pointer atmosphere.

Paris FC usually set up in a tight 4-4-2 that looks to stay compact and hit on the break. Auxerre go 4-2-3-1 and try to control the middle. No major fresh injury worries for either camp.

Tactical Trends

Both sides are scrappy and direct – Paris FC average just 48% possession and rely on quick transitions, while Auxerre edge the ball but aren’t afraid to go long. Set pieces could decide it – Auxerre score 0.25 per game from dead balls and Paris FC concede 0.3.

Form

Paris FC over the last ten: three wins, three draws, four defeats – 11 scored, 16 conceded, two clean sheets. They’ve been competitive but leaky at the back.

Auxerre: four wins, three draws, three defeats – 12 scored, 11 conceded, three clean sheets. Slightly more solid and picking up points regularly.

Home vs Away Form

Paris FC at home (last 10): 40% win rate, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded – tough to beat at Charléty.

Auxerre away (last 10): only 20% wins, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded – they struggle on the road.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
58%
Model view for this specific match

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For xG Against

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Very little separates them on underlying numbers – a tight, cagey affair looks on the cards.

Head-to-Head

Paris FC have won three of the last five meetings (all in Ligue 2), including 2-1 here in May 2024 and 1-0 in August 2023. The other two finished 1-1 and 3-1 to Auxerre.

KickTheBookies Prediction

Two evenly-matched sides who know how to grind out results. Paris FC have the home advantage and recent head-to-head edge – just enough to nick it.

Prediction: Paris FC 1-0 Auxerre

Betting Tips

Main pick: Paris FC draw no bet – best of both worlds with their home form.

Value angle: |Under 2.5 goals – both sides low-scoring and cagey.

Double chance: Paris FC or draw – Auxerre have only won twice away all season.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – 50% and 40% over rates respectively.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/Draw or Draw/Paris FC – these games rarely explode early.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Under – combined average under 10.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 4 bookings – leaning over 3.5 cards.

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

Here are the key numbers behind the clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!

Average goals scored per game
Paris FC
1.10
Auxerre
1.20

Neither side is prolific – expect a low-scoring scrap.

Average goals conceded per game
Paris FC
1.60
Auxerre
1.10

Auxerre have been tighter at the back recently.

Clean sheet percentage
Paris FC
20%
Auxerre
30%

Auxerre keep more shutouts – worth watching win-to-nil markets.

Average shots per game (total)
Paris FC
10.50
Auxerre
11.20
Average shots on target per game
Paris FC
3.80
Auxerre
4.00
Average possession
Paris FC
48%
Auxerre
52%
Average corners per game
Paris FC
4.80
Auxerre
5.20
Average yellow cards per game
Paris FC
2.10
Auxerre
1.90
Expected goals (xG) per game
Paris FC
1.15
Auxerre
1.20
xG against per game
Paris FC
1.50
Auxerre
1.30
Average set piece goals scored
Paris FC
0.20
Auxerre
0.25
Average set piece goals conceded
Paris FC
0.30
Auxerre
0.20
Average pass completion rate
Paris FC
82%
Auxerre
84%
Average tackles per game
Paris FC
11.50
Auxerre
12.00
Average interceptions per game
Paris FC
6.80
Auxerre
7.20
Goal timing (first half vs second half)
Paris FC
42% / 58%
Auxerre
50% / 50%
Average under/over 2.5 goals per game (% over 2.5)
Paris FC
50%
Auxerre
40%
Average points per game
Paris FC
1.20
Auxerre
1.40

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FAQ: Paris FC vs Auxerre – All the Key Stats
Who will win Paris FC vs Auxerre?

Paris FC – home advantage and recent H2H edge just tips it.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Paris FC vs Auxerre?

Paris FC 1-0 Auxerre.

What time does Paris FC vs Auxerre kick off in the UK?

2:00 pm GMT, Sunday 30 November 2025.

Where is Paris FC vs Auxerre being played?

Stade Charléty, Paris.

What are the recent head-to-head results Paris FC vs Auxerre?

Paris FC have won three of the last five meetings.

Who has the better recent form Paris FC or Auxerre?

Auxerre edge it slightly with 1.40 points per game vs 1.20.

How many goals does Paris FC score per game on average?

Paris FC average 1.10 goals scored per game over their last ten.

How many goals does Auxerre concede per game on average?

Auxerre concede 1.10 goals per game over their last ten.

What is Paris FC’s clean sheet percentage?

Paris FC have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their last ten games.

How many shots does Paris FC average per game?

Paris FC average 10.50 total shots and 3.80 on target per game.

What is Paris FC’s average possession?

Paris FC hold 48% possession on average.

How many corners does Auxerre win per game?

Auxerre average 5.20 corners per game.

What is Paris FC’s xG and xG against?

Paris FC create 1.15 xG and concede 1.50 xG per game.

How many set-piece goals does Auxerre score?

Auxerre score 0.25 set-piece goals per game on average.

What is the average pass completion rate for Auxerre?

Auxerre complete 84% of their passes.

When do Paris FC and Auxerre score most of their goals?

Paris FC: 42% first half / 58% second half. Auxerre: 50% / 50%.

Will both teams score (BTTS) in Paris FC vs Auxerre?

Model gives 58% chance of BTTS.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Paris FC vs Auxerre?

Under – both sides involved in plenty of low-scoring games.

How many yellow cards are expected in Paris FC vs Auxerre?

Around 4 bookings – leaning over 3.5 cards.

How many corners are expected in Paris FC vs Auxerre?

Combined average under 10 – under 9.5 corners looks strong.