Monaco vs PSG | Ligue 1 Preview & Betting Tips | 29 Nov 2025

Monaco are the only side still within touching distance of PSG at the summit and a win here would blow the title race wide open. The Principality will be rocking – sell-out crowd, huge away following, proper big-game feel. PSG have already won here twice this calendar year, but Monaco have the firepower to hurt them.

Monaco stick with their high-energy 4-2-3-1 that presses aggressively and transitions lightning quick. PSG line up in a flexible 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 that dominates possession and picks teams apart with quality in the final third.

Monaco love to go toe-to-toe – they average 55% possession at home and create nearly 2.0 xG per game while allowing 1.45. PSG are the possession kings at 65% and generate a monstrous 2.50 xG while conceding just 0.85 – the quality gap is real. Set pieces could be key: PSG score 0.4 per game from dead balls, Monaco concede 0.2.

Monaco over the last ten: five wins, one draw, four defeats – 18 scored, 15 conceded, two clean sheets. Plenty of goals at both ends lately.

PSG: eight wins, two draws, zero defeats – 27 scored, 7 conceded, six clean sheets. Absolutely relentless and looking untouchable.

Monaco at home (last 10): 70% win rate, averaging 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded – the Louis II is a tough place to visit.

PSG away (last 10): 80% win rate, averaging 2.8 scored and 0.9 conceded – they’ve been brutal on the road.

PSG create far more and concede far less – the underlying numbers scream away win.

PSG have dominated recently – winning four of the last five meetings, including 3-1 and 4-1 at the Parc des Princes. The only blot was Monaco’s famous 5-2 thrashing in November 2023. When these two meet, goals usually follow.

Monaco can hurt anyone on their day, but PSG are on another level right now – ruthless in attack and rock-solid at the back. Expect the visitors to control the game and take all three points.

Prediction: Monaco 1-3 PSG

Main pick: PSG -0.75 (Asian Handicap) – covers the win and half-stake back on a draw.

Value angle: Over 3.0 goals – 70% of both sides’ recent games have cleared this line.

Double chance: PSG or draw – Monaco have lost four of their last six against PSG.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Over – seven of the last ten H2Hs went over 2.5.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/PSG – PSG often grow into big away games.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – combined average 13 corners per game.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 3-4 bookings – leaning under 4.5 cards.

Here are the key numbers behind tonight’s clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!

PSG are the league’s most lethal attack by some distance.

PSG have the best defence in Europe right now – scary.

PSG have shut out six of their last ten opponents.

PSG pepper the goal – expect plenty of shots on target too.

PSG will control the ball, but Monaco are dangerous on the break.

Combined average 13 – massive for corner markets.

PSG love an early goal; Monaco tend to strike after the break.