AC Milan vs Lazio | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips | 29 Nov 2025
Milan are desperate to get back to winning ways after a tricky spell, while Lazio arrive in decent nick and with revenge on the mind after losing 1-0 here last month. The San Siro will be absolutely rocking – packed house, massive atmosphere, and a proper Serie A blockbuster feel.
Milan usually line up in a 4-2-3-1 that looks to dominate the ball and press high. Lazio go 4-3-3 and like to stay compact before springing forward quickly on the break.
Milan control possession at 52% and create 1.70 xG per game while allowing 1.20 – strong at home. Lazio sit slightly deeper on 50% possession, generate 1.20 xG and concede 1.30. Both are solid defensively and don’t give much away from open play – set pieces and individual quality will likely decide it.
Milan over the last ten: six wins, three draws, one defeat – 16 scored, 10 conceded, four clean sheets. Very solid and hard to beat.
Lazio: four wins, three draws, three defeats – 11 scored, 10 conceded, three clean sheets. Picking up points but not always convincing.
Milan at home (last 10): 70% win rate, averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded – the San Siro is a fortress again.
Lazio away (last 10): only 30% wins, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded – they struggle to impose themselves on the road.
Goals Against (per game)
Milan create noticeably more and concede less – the underlying numbers favour the home side.
Milan have had the edge recently: 2-1 at the San Siro in September 2025, 1-1 in Rome last April, 3-0 Milan in November 2024, 2-1 Lazio in March 2024 and 2-0 Milan in October 2023. Four of the last five have been decided by a single goal.
Milan are strong at the San Siro, create more chances and face a Lazio side that struggles away from home. Expect the hosts to control the game and grind out another narrow victory.
Prediction: AC Milan 2-1 Lazio
Main pick: AC Milan to win – best price around evens looks fair.
Value angle: Milan -0.5 (Asian Handicap) – covers the straight win.
Double chance: Milan or draw – Lazio have lost 60% of their away games.
Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – only 45% combined over rate.
Half-time/full-time: Draw/Milan – Milan often grow into home games.
Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – Milan average 6+ at home.
Yellow cards prediction: Around 4 bookings – leaning under 4.5 cards.
Here are the key numbers behind tonight’s clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!
Milan carry the bigger goal threat.
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Who will win AC Milan vs Lazio?
Milan – stronger at home and better underlying numbers.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for AC Milan vs Lazio?
AC Milan 2-1 Lazio.
What time does AC Milan vs Lazio kick off in the UK?
7:45 pm GMT, Saturday 29 November 2025.
Where is AC Milan vs Lazio being played?
San Siro, Milan.
What are the recent head-to-head results AC Milan vs Lazio?
Milan have won three of the last five meetings.
Who has the better recent form AC Milan or Lazio?
Milan – averaging 1.90 points per game vs Lazio’s 1.40.
How many goals does AC Milan score per game on average?
Milan average 1.60 goals scored per game over their last ten.
How many goals does Lazio concede per game on average?
Lazio concede 1.00 goal per game over their last ten.
What is AC Milan’s clean sheet percentage?
Milan have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last ten games.
How many shots does AC Milan average per game?
Milan average 14.00 total shots and 5.50 on target per game.
What is AC Milan’s average possession?
Milan hold 52% possession on average.
How many corners does AC Milan win per game?
Milan average 6.00 corners per game.
What is AC Milan’s xG and xG against?
Milan create 1.70 xG and concede 1.20 xG per game.
How many set-piece goals does AC Milan score?
Milan score 0.30 set-piece goals per game on average.
What is the average pass completion rate for AC Milan?
Milan complete 85% of their passes.
When do AC Milan and Lazio score most of their goals?
Both teams are fairly even across both halves.
Will both teams score (BTTS) in AC Milan vs Lazio?
Model gives 47% chance of BTTS.
Over or under 2.5 goals in AC Milan vs Lazio?
Under – low combined over rate.
How many yellow cards are expected in AC Milan vs Lazio?
Around 4 – leaning under 4.5 cards.
How many corners are expected in AC Milan vs Lazio?
Combined average 11 – over 9.5 corners likely.