Brighton vs West Ham | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips | 7 Dec 2025
Brighton are having a brilliant season so far and sit comfortably in the European places, while West Ham are stuck in a real rut and flirting with the bottom half. The Amex is rarely an easy place to go these days and the home crowd will be right up for this one, with a decent away following expected from East London too.
Brighton continue to play their usual possession-based, high-pressing 4-2-3-1 that looks to overload the wide areas. West Ham have been lining up in a 4-2-3-1 or occasionally 3-4-2-1, but they’ve struggled to keep the ball and are often forced to sit deep and counter.
Brighton dominate the ball (51.5 % possession on average) and create plenty from open play, while also being a real threat from set pieces – scoring 0.5 per game from dead balls. West Ham, on the other hand, are giving up far too many chances (2.05 xGA) and haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last ten. Brighton also come alive after the break – 65 % of their goals arrive in the second half – whereas West Ham are leaking badly in both halves.
Brighton over the last ten: five wins, three draws, two defeats – 20 scored, 14 conceded, three clean sheets. They’ve only lost twice and are picking up 1.8 points per game.
West Ham: two wins, three draws, five defeats – 12 scored, 18 conceded, zero clean sheets. Just 0.9 points per game and looking very shaky at the back.
Brighton at the Amex (last 10 home league): 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat – averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Proper fortress.
West Ham away (last 10 league): 1 win, 3 draws, 6 defeats – averaging 0.9 scored and 2.2 conceded. They’ve been poor travellers.
Goals Against (per game)
Brighton are creating decent chances and facing average ones; West Ham are doing the complete opposite. The underlying numbers scream home win.
Last five meetings: April 2025 – Brighton 3-2 West Ham; Dec 2024 – West Ham 1-1 Brighton; Jan 2024 – West Ham 0-0 Brighton; Aug 2023 – Brighton 1-3 West Ham; Mar 2023 – Brighton 4-0 West Ham. Brighton have won three of the last five at the Amex and four of the last five meetings have seen both teams score.
Brighton are flying, strong at home and playing good stuff. West Ham can’t buy a clean sheet and are struggling for any kind of consistency. Everything points one way.
Prediction: Brighton 2-1 Brighton
Main pick: Brighton to win – the form and home record make this solid.
Value angle: Brighton -1 Asian Handicap – West Ham have been rolled over on the road.
Alternative: Brighton win & BTTS – West Ham do nick the odd goal.
Over/under 2.5: Over – 60 % of Brighton games recently have cleared it.
Corners: Over 10.5 – combined average 10.8.
Cards: Over 4.5 – both sides pick up plenty of bookings.
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Who will win Brighton vs West Ham?
Brighton – form, home record and underlying numbers all point to the Seagulls.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
Brighton 2-1 West Ham.
What time is kick-off?
14:00 GMT, Sunday 7 December 2025.
Where is the match being played?
American Express Stadium, Brighton.
Will both teams score (BTTS)?
Model gives 68% chance – very likely.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 looks solid – Brighton games regularly deliver goals.
How many points are Brighton averaging?
1.8 points per game over last ten – excellent form.
Have West Ham kept any clean sheets recently?
No – zero clean sheets in their last ten matches.