Real Madrid vs Manchester City | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 10 Dec 2025

Real Madrid vs Manchester City — Champions League, 10 December 2025

Two European heavyweights clash again in the Champions League league phase – a repeat of recent epic battles.

Introduction

Real Madrid and Manchester City renew one of the modern great rivalries in the Champions League league phase, with both sides aiming to secure top spots for the knockouts. Recent encounters have been absolute crackers, full of goals and drama. The Bernabéu will be electric under the lights, with the home crowd in full voice and strong away support from Manchester.

Real Madrid play high-tempo, transitional football, while City dominate possession and build patiently – a clash of styles that usually delivers fireworks. We have a battle between two of the worlds top strikers in Mbappe vs Haaland.

Team news is fairly positive for both: Real Madrid have a near full squad available after recent returns from injury, while City are boosted by key players back in training ahead of this one.

Tactical Trends

Real Madrid rack up nearly 20 shots per game with 60% possession, creating high xG at 2.26 while restricting opponents to 1.14. City similar possession at 57% but lower shots, tight defensively at 1.11 xGA.

Form

Real Madrid mixed lately with a shock home loss but strong wins in Europe, scoring well.

City on a good run with plenty of wins and clean sheets, looking solid.

Home vs Away Form

Real Madrid at home: usually dominant but recent slip shows vulnerability.

City away: strong, keeping clean sheets and picking up points.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
68%
Model view for this specific match

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For xG Against

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Real Madrid create more quality chances while both sides restrict well – slight edge to the hosts in attack.

Head-to-Head

Recent meetings have been thrilling: Real Madrid progressed in last season’s knockout playoffs with 3-1 home and 3-2 away wins. Before that, 3-3 and 1-1 draws in quarters, plus City’s 4-0 semi-final win – always goals and drama.

KickTheBookies Prediction

Two attacking powerhouses – expect goals. Real Madrid’s home record in Europe and recent head-to-head edge tip it their way in another cracker.

Prediction: Real Madrid 3-2 Manchester City

Betting Tips

Main pick: Over 2.5 goals – history screams goals, both scoring freely.

Value angle: Real Madrid win – home advantage in big European nights.

Double chance: Real Madrid or draw – hard to beat at Bernabéu.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Over – screaming value.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/Real Madrid – City start strong.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – high shot volume.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 5 – leaning over 4.5 cards.

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

Here are the key numbers behind the clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!

Average goals scored per game
Real Madrid
2.00
Manchester City
2.33
Average goals conceded per game
Real Madrid
0.94
Manchester City
1.07
Clean sheet percentage
Real Madrid
44%
Manchester City
40%
Average shots per game (total)
Real Madrid
19.88
Manchester City
14.47
Average possession
Real Madrid
60%
Manchester City
57%
Expected goals (xG) per game
Real Madrid
2.26
Manchester City
1.70
xG against per game
Real Madrid
1.14
Manchester City
1.11
Average under/over 2.5 goals per game (% over 2.5)
Real Madrid
60%
Manchester City
60%
Average points per game
Real Madrid
2.40
Manchester City
2.20
⚽ Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals
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FAQ: Real Madrid vs Manchester City – All the Key Stats
Who will win Real Madrid vs Manchester City?

Real Madrid – home advantage in big European nights.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Real Madrid 3-2 Manchester City.

What time does Real Madrid vs Manchester City kick off in the UK?

8:00 pm GMT, Wednesday 10 December 2025.

Where is Real Madrid vs Manchester City being played?

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid.

What are the recent head-to-head results?

Thrilling encounters with plenty of goals; Real Madrid progressed last season.

Who has the better recent form?

Both strong, but City slightly higher scoring.

How many goals does Manchester City score per game on average?

Manchester City average 2.33 goals scored per game.

How many clean sheets has Real Madrid kept?

Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 44% of games.

Will both teams score (BTTS)?

Model gives 68% chance – goals expected.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over – history and form point to goals.