Lecce vs Pisa | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips | 12 Dec 2025

Lecce vs Pisa — Serie A, 12 December 2025

A proper relegation six-pointer in Puglia – both sides desperate for points and neither exactly pulling up trees in front of goal.

Introduction

Friday night under the lights at the Via del Mare and it’s a massive scrap at the wrong end of the table. Lecce are hovering just above the drop zone, while Pisa are only a couple of points better off – three points here would be huge for either side. Expect a raucous home crowd trying to suck the ball into the net and a decent away following making the trip down from Tuscany.

Both teams tend to line up in a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 shape, sitting deep, staying compact and looking to nick something on the counter or from a set piece. Proper Italian chess match incoming.

Tactical Trends

These two are mirror images right now – low possession (Lecce 44%, Pisa 39%), very few shots on target (2.7 and 2.5 per game) and both rely heavily on set pieces for goals. Lecce win more duels and press a touch higher, while Pisa try to slow the game down and frustrate. Everything points to a low-scoring, niggly affair decided by a dead-ball situation or a mistake.

Form

Lecce last 10: 3W-2D-5L | 8 scored, 11 conceded, 3 clean sheets. They’ve been tough to beat at home but struggle to create chances.

Pisa last 10: 1W-6D-3L | 7 scored, 13 conceded, 4 clean sheets. Draw specialists who rarely get hammered but rarely win either.

Home vs Away Form

Lecce at home (last 5 home): only 1 defeat, 2 wins, 2 draws – averaging 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. The Via del Mare has become hard to leave with three points.

Pisa away (last 5 away): 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat – they’ve drawn the lot recently and concede very little on the road, but can’t find a goal.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
34%
Model view for this specific match

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For xG Against

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Neither side is creating much at all – this has 0-0 or 1-0 written all over it.

Head-to-Head

The last five meetings (all in Serie B) were grim: 1-0 Lecce, 0-0, 0-0, 0-2 Pisa, 1-0 Pisa. Only one game had more than one goal and three finished goalless. Proper low-block stuff – don’t expect a festival of football here either.

KickTheBookies Prediction

Home advantage, a slightly better attack and Pisa’s inability to win on the road all point one way. Lecce aren’t flashy, but they grind out results at the Via del Mare.

Prediction: Lecce 1-0 Pisa

Betting Tips

Main pick: Under 2.5 goals – screaming value with these numbers and the head-to-head history.

Value angle: Lecce to win to nil – they keep it tight at home and Pisa barely score away.

Alternative: Lecce draw no bet – covers the very real chance of another 0-0.

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

Perfect for cards, corners and player markets – enjoy!

Average goals scored per game
Lecce
0.8
Pisa
0.7
Average goals conceded per game
Lecce
1.1
Pisa
1.3
Clean sheet percentage
Lecce
30%
Pisa
40%
Average shots per game (total)
Lecce
9.5
Pisa
9.8
Average shots on target per game
Lecce
2.7
Pisa
2.5
Average possession
Lecce
44%
Pisa
39%
Average corners per game
Lecce
4.8
Pisa
4.2
Average yellow cards per game
Lecce
1.8
Pisa
1.8
Expected goals (xG) per game
Lecce
1.1
Pisa
1.0
xG against per game
Lecce
1.4
Pisa
1.7

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FAQ: Lecce vs Pisa
Who will win Lecce vs Pisa?

Lecce – home advantage and slightly better attack should see them over the line.

KickTheBookies prediction?

Lecce 1-0 Pisa.

What time is kick-off (UK)?

7:45 pm GMT, Friday 12 December 2025.

Will both teams score?

Only 34% chance – expect a low-scoring game.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Under 2.5 goals is the strong play here.