Newcastle vs Chelsea | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips

Newcastle vs Chelsea — Premier League, 20 December 2025

A huge Premier League clash at St James’ Park with two in-form sides pushing for the top end of the table as the festive period kicks in.

🗞️ Introduction

This is one of those fixtures that always feels bigger than just three points. Newcastle have been excellent at home this season, feeding off the noise and intensity of St James’ Park, while Chelsea arrive riding serious momentum after a strong run of league results.

Both sides are firmly in the conversation for European places and possibly more, making this a real statement game. Expect a hostile atmosphere, a packed away end, and a match played at a high tempo from the first whistle.

Newcastle tend to set up with an aggressive press and quick forward transitions, while Chelsea are more possession-focused, happy to control games and wear teams down before striking.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Newcastle average 52% possession but are far more dangerous when games open up, averaging 1.8 goals per match and creating chances quickly once they win the ball.

Chelsea dominate the ball more regularly at nearly 59% possession, combining patience with real cutting edge — their 2.3 goals per game underlines how ruthless they’ve been lately.

Both sides press well, but Chelsea’s ability to sustain attacks for long spells could test Newcastle’s defensive structure late on.

📋 Form

Newcastle: six wins, two draws, two defeats from the last ten. Eighteen goals scored, ten conceded, and five clean sheets. Strong, balanced form with plenty of goals.

Chelsea: seven wins, two draws, one defeat. Twenty-three goals scored, nine conceded, and four clean sheets. One of the league’s most in-form sides right now.

📊 Average goals scored per game
Newcastle
1.80
Chelsea
2.30

📊 Average goals conceded per game
Newcastle
1.00
Chelsea
0.90

📊 Clean sheet percentage
Newcastle
50%
Chelsea
40%

📊 Average possession
Newcastle
52.4%
Chelsea
58.7%

📊 Expected goals (xG) per game
Newcastle
1.72
Chelsea
2.08

📊 xG against per game
Newcastle
1.05
Chelsea
1.12

📊 Average points per game
Newcastle
2.10
Chelsea
2.40

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Newcastle at St James’ Park have been relentless, winning the majority of their recent home matches and averaging well over two goals per game.

Chelsea away from home have been equally impressive, picking up big wins and scoring freely, with very few off-days on the road.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
64%
Model view for this specific match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

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Both sides consistently create high-quality chances, with Chelsea holding a slight edge in overall attacking output.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

Chelsea have edged recent meetings, winning four of the last five league encounters. Even so, games at St James’ Park have tended to be open and lively, including a four-goal home win two seasons ago.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

This feels like a proper Premier League heavyweight clash. Newcastle’s home strength should keep it tight, but Chelsea’s consistency and cutting edge may just tell late on.

Prediction: Newcastle 1–2 Chelsea

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Over 2.5 goals — both sides average well over two total goals per match.

Value angle: Chelsea draw no bet — form and recent head-to-head record lean their way.

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⚽ Best Bet: Back Over 2.5 Goals

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FAQ: Newcastle vs Chelsea
Who will win Newcastle vs Chelsea?

Chelsea are narrow favourites based on form, but it should be a close game.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Chelsea to win 2-1.

Will both teams score?

Yes looks likely given both teams’ scoring records.

Are goals expected in this match?

Yes — data points towards over 2.5 goals.