Bournemouth vs Burnley | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips

Bournemouth come into this one frustrated more than anything else. They haven’t won in the league for a while, but they’ve been competitive, picking up draws and staying in games — including a wild 4–4 last time out.

Burnley’s situation is more worrying. A long losing run has dragged them right into trouble, and confidence looks fragile. Away from home, it’s been particularly tough.

The Vitality should be lively for a Saturday afternoon, with home fans sensing a chance to finally turn performances into a much-needed win.

Tactically, Bournemouth are likely to be front-foot, pressing high and committing numbers forward. Burnley are expected to sit deep, absorb pressure and try to break quickly when chances come.

Bournemouth average over 13 shots per game and are happy to take risks going forward, which has led to open matches and plenty of goals at both ends.

Burnley create far fewer chances, averaging just over eight shots per game, and often struggle to get sustained pressure high up the pitch.

This looks like a game where Bournemouth territory and shot volume should tell, especially if Burnley can’t slow the tempo early on.

Bournemouth: no wins in the last ten competitive games, but four draws and six defeats tell only part of the story. Around 15 goals scored, 14 conceded, with very few clean sheets but plenty of attacking intent.

Burnley: ten matches, one win, two draws and seven defeats. Around 11 goals scored, roughly 20 conceded, and clean sheets have been rare.

Bournemouth at home have been competitive, scoring regularly but struggling to shut games down late on.

Burnley away from home have found it extremely difficult, conceding heavily and rarely controlling matches for long spells.

Bournemouth consistently create more than Burnley, while Burnley concede a high volume of quality chances.

The most recent meeting ended in a 2–0 Bournemouth win at Turf Moor in March 2024. Across the last five meetings, Bournemouth have won three, Burnley two, with no draws — and the home side has often had the edge.

Bournemouth look closer to turning form into wins, while Burnley’s confidence appears shot. Home advantage and attacking volume should make the difference.

Prediction: Bournemouth 2–1 Burnley

Main pick: Bournemouth to win — Burnley’s away form is a major concern.

Value angle: Over 2.5 goals — both sides are involved in high-scoring games regularly.