Fiorentina vs Udinese | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips

This feels like an important checkpoint for both teams. Fiorentina have struggled for league wins and are under pressure to turn solid performances into points, while Udinese arrive knowing a result here would strengthen their mid-table position.

The hosts have been far more effective in Europe than domestically, while Udinese have mixed their performances but shown they can upset stronger sides on their day.

The atmosphere should be lively at the Artemio Franchi, with home fans eager for a response and a compact but vocal travelling support.

Fiorentina are expected to dominate the ball and build patiently, while Udinese are comfortable sitting deeper and striking quickly when space opens up.

Fiorentina average around 52% possession and complete over 80% of their passes, showing their preference for controlled build-up play.

Udinese see less of the ball at 48% possession but are efficient when they do attack, averaging nearly 13 shots per game.

Both sides concede more than they would like, which points towards a tight game where moments and decision-making in both boxes will be crucial.

Fiorentina: last ten competitive games show mixed fortunes — two wins, two draws and six defeats, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded. Clean sheets have been rare.

Udinese: four wins, one draw and five defeats from the last ten. Ten goals scored, fifteen conceded and three clean sheets.

Fiorentina at home have been competitive but wasteful, often controlling games without making it count.

Udinese away from home are inconsistent but capable of grinding out results, including narrow wins against stronger opposition.

Both teams sit close to the 1.0–1.2 xG mark, pointing towards a narrow game decided by fine margins.

The most recent meeting ended 1–1 in Udine back in May. Across the last five meetings, Fiorentina have won three, Udinese one, with one draw — generally low-scoring and tight affairs.

Neither side is free-flowing right now, but Fiorentina’s need for points and home edge could be decisive.

Prediction: Fiorentina 1–0 Udinese

Main pick: Fiorentina win — home advantage and greater urgency.

Value angle: Under 2.5 goals — both sides average around one goal per game.