Sunderland vs Leeds | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips

Sunderland vs Leeds — Premier League, 28 December 2025

A proper festive Premier League clash at the Stadium of Light, with two sides heading in different directions but both believing they can take something from this one.

🗞️ Introduction

Sunderland continue to punch above their weight after promotion and have quietly built a strong platform in the middle of the table. Leeds arrive on Wearside knowing results have been patchy, but their attacking output keeps them dangerous against anyone.

The Stadium of Light should be bouncing again after a solid run of home performances, while Leeds are expected to bring a loud travelling support for this late-December fixture.

Sunderland are comfortable sitting compact and playing with discipline, while Leeds tend to dominate the ball and commit numbers forward. It sets up a fascinating clash of styles.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Sunderland average just 46% possession but make it count, conceding only 1.00 goal per game and keeping clean sheets in over a third of matches. They’re happy to soak up pressure and strike at the right moments.

Leeds see more of the ball at 52% possession and average more goals scored, but that comes at a cost defensively, conceding nearly two goals per match and leaving space when games stretch.

The key battle here looks like Sunderland’s shape and discipline versus Leeds’ willingness to commit bodies forward and turn games into end-to-end affairs.

📋 Form

Sunderland’s last ten reads well: four wins, four draws and just two defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 10 with three clean sheets. They’ve been particularly stubborn away from home and strong at the Stadium of Light.

Leeds over the same period have three wins, four draws and three defeats, scoring 14 but conceding 18. They’ve been entertaining but often leave the door open at the back.

📊 Average goals scored per game
Sunderland
1.12
Leeds
1.41

📊 Average goals conceded per game
Sunderland
1.00
Leeds
1.82

📊 Clean sheet percentage
Sunderland
35%
Leeds
18%

📊 Average possession
Sunderland
46%
Leeds
52%

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Sunderland at home have won four of their last five league matches, averaging over two goals scored per game and conceding less than one. It’s quickly become a tough place to visit.

Leeds away from home have won just once in their last five, conceding regularly and often finding themselves chasing games late on.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
57%
Model view for this specific match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

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Sunderland keep games tight, while Leeds consistently create chances but also allow plenty at the other end.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

The last five meetings have all been close, with four draws and a single Leeds win. Sunderland have avoided defeat in the last two home meetings, and none of the last five have been decided by more than one goal.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Sunderland’s home strength and defensive organisation should keep this tight, but Leeds’ attacking threat means chances at both ends are likely.

Prediction: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Draw – Sunderland hard to beat at home, Leeds dangerous but leaky.

Value angle: Under 3.5 goals – Sunderland games rarely get out of control.

⚽ Best Bet: Back the draw

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