AC Milan vs Hellas Verona | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona — Serie A, 28 December 2025

A classic Serie A mismatch on paper, but one that still demands focus as AC Milan look to keep pace at the top against a Verona side fighting for every point.

🗞️ Introduction

AC Milan head into this one in strong shape, scoring freely and keeping things tight at the back. With the festive period in full swing, dropping points here would feel like a missed opportunity.

Verona arrive knowing the challenge ahead. They’ve shown flashes of resilience but have struggled for consistency, especially away from home.

The San Siro should be buzzing, with the home crowd expecting control, pressure and goals from the first whistle.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Milan dominate possession at 64% on average, patiently building attacks and pinning teams back. They take over 17 shots per game, a clear sign of sustained pressure.

Verona sit much deeper, averaging just 45% possession, and rely on organisation and work rate rather than sustained spells on the ball.

The gap in pass completion — 84% versus 70% — highlights the likely pattern: Milan circulating play, Verona defending in numbers.

📋 Form

Milan’s last ten bring seven wins and three defeats, with 24 goals scored and just 10 conceded. Clean sheets have been a regular feature.

Verona have managed two wins, three draws and five losses in the same spell, scoring nine and conceding fifteen.

📊 Average goals scored per game
AC Milan
2.27
Hellas Verona
0.87

📊 Average goals conceded per game
AC Milan
0.93
Hellas Verona
1.47

📊 Clean sheet percentage
AC Milan
46.7%
Hellas Verona
20%

📊 Average possession
AC Milan
64%
Hellas Verona
45.3%

📊 Expected goals (xG) per game
AC Milan
1.82
Hellas Verona
1.13

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Milan at home have been ruthless, averaging over two goals per game and conceding less than one.

Verona away have struggled badly, scoring infrequently and often spending long spells under pressure.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
44%
Model view for this specific match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

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Milan consistently create higher-quality chances while Verona often allow more than they generate.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

Milan have won all of the last five meetings, keeping four clean sheets in the process. Verona have found goals hard to come by in this fixture.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

This feels like a control-and-convert type of game. Milan should dominate territory and chances, with Verona mainly trying to limit damage.

Prediction: AC Milan 2-0 Hellas Verona

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: AC Milan to win to nil – dominant defence meets a low-scoring away side.

Value angle: Under 3.5 goals – Milan control games rather than chase big scorelines.

⚽ Best Bet: Back AC Milan to win to nil

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FAQ: AC Milan vs Hellas Verona
Who will win AC Milan vs Hellas Verona?

AC Milan are strong favourites at home.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

AC Milan 2-0 Hellas Verona.

Will both teams score?

The model gives a 44% BTTS likelihood.

Is this a good match for a Milan clean sheet?

Yes – Verona average under one goal per game.