Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips

Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth — Premier League, 30 December 2025

A big end-of-year fixture at the City Ground as Nottingham Forest host Bournemouth with both sides desperate to build momentum.

Introduction

This one feels important for both clubs. Nottingham Forest have been battling inconsistency and need home points, while Bournemouth arrive knowing results on the road will shape how comfortable their season becomes.

The City Ground should be lively, with the home crowd expecting a response after recent setbacks. Forest will look to be aggressive and direct, while Bournemouth are likely to stay compact and pick moments to break forward.

Tactical Trends

Forest average just over 50% possession and around 12 shots per game, showing a willingness to compete for the ball rather than sit deep. Bournemouth operate with slightly less control but still generate over 13 shots a match, often relying on quick transitions.

Defensively, both sides concede chances. Forest allow over 1.5 xG per game, while Bournemouth concede closer to 1.7, which points towards a game with openings at both ends rather than a slow burner.

Form

Forest’s last ten games read as three wins, one draw and six defeats. They’ve scored roughly 11 goals in that run and conceded around 17, keeping clean sheets in under 20% of matches. Results have swung wildly from week to week.

Bournemouth over their last ten have managed two wins, three draws and five defeats, scoring close to 15 goals and conceding about 18. Away form has been the main issue, with goals often conceded in clusters.

Home vs Away Form

Forest at home average just over a goal per game but have struggled to shut teams out, conceding nearly two per match at the City Ground.

Bournemouth away games tend to be open, with an average close to two goals conceded per trip and relatively few clean sheets on the road.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
57%
Model view for this specific match

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

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Neither side dominates the xG numbers, which points towards a fairly even contest with moments at both ends.

Head-to-Head

The recent head-to-head leans Bournemouth’s way. They won 2–0 in the reverse fixture earlier this month, while four of the last five meetings overall have been settled by a single goal or a clean sheet.

KickTheBookies Prediction

Forest’s home crowd should keep them competitive, but Bournemouth’s slightly stronger attacking output could make the difference if chances are taken.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth

Betting Tips

Main pick: Draw – both sides closely matched and often involved in tight games.

Value angle: BTTS – Yes – defensive numbers suggest chances at both ends.

Double chance: Forest or draw – home edge could matter.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – Forest games go under more often than not.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/Draw – cagey first half expected.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – combined average sits close to double figures.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 4–5 total, leaning over 3.5 cards.

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

The data points towards a close contest, making markets like draw, BTTS, cards and corners useful additions for bet builders.

Average goals scored per game
Nottingham Forest
1.11
Bournemouth
1.48
Average goals conceded per game
Nottingham Forest
1.69
Bournemouth
1.82
Clean sheet percentage
Nottingham Forest
17.6%
Bournemouth
20%
Average shots per game
Nottingham Forest
12.31
Bournemouth
13.29
Average shots on target per game
Nottingham Forest
4.06
Bournemouth
4.82
Average possession
Nottingham Forest
50.6%
Bournemouth
48%
Average corners per game
Nottingham Forest
4.8
Bournemouth
4.9
Average yellow cards per game
Nottingham Forest
2.1
Bournemouth
2.3
Expected goals (xG) per game
Nottingham Forest
1.20
Bournemouth
1.45
xG against per game
Nottingham Forest
1.55
Bournemouth
1.68
Average pass completion rate
Nottingham Forest
82.3%
Bournemouth
81%
Average under/over 2.5 goals per game (% over)
Nottingham Forest
47%
Bournemouth
59%
Average points per game
Nottingham Forest
1.06
Bournemouth
1.24

⚽ Best Bet: Back the draw


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FAQ: Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?

This one looks finely balanced, with a draw the most likely outcome.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth.

Will both teams score?

BTTS is rated at 57% for this match.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Under 2.5 goals looks slightly stronger based on Forest’s recent trends.

Are corners worth including in bet builders?

Yes – both sides average close to 10 combined corners.

Is home advantage important here?

The City Ground atmosphere could help Forest avoid defeat.