Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Predictions & Betting Tips – Bundesliga 26 April 2026
This Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg prediction starts with Dortmund’s superior season profile. They sit 2nd with 64 points, average 2.13 points per game, and score just over two goals per match.
Freiburg are a good side in their own right, sitting 7th with 43 points and coming in off wins over Heidenheim and Mainz. The issue is the defensive gap. Freiburg concede 1.60 goals per game, while Dortmund concede only 1.03.
The head-to-head record is also hard to ignore. Dortmund have won three of the last five meetings, including 4-0 and 3-0 home wins. With both teams capable of scoring, Dortmund to win and over 1.5 goals looks a natural angle.
Main Pick: Borussia Dortmund To Win
Dortmund have the stronger league position, better defensive numbers, higher points-per-game return and a strong recent home head-to-head record.
Value Angle: Dortmund Win & Over 1.5 Goals
Dortmund average 2.03 goals per game, while Freiburg matches also trend towards goals, with around 55% going over 2.5.
Safer Bet: Over 1.5 Goals
The attacking numbers are strong enough on both sides, and the last four head-to-head meetings all produced at least two goals.
BTTS: Yes
Freiburg average 1.47 goals per game and arrive with back-to-back league wins, so they have enough to trouble Dortmund.
Read on for much more content, stats & insight on the match after the BetTom advert (excellent bookie btw).
BetTom are a fabulous new bookie with fast payouts and a clean, easy-to-use site.
New customers can get £25 free on sign up. Ideal if you fancy backing today’s best bets, building an acca, or checking the latest football prices.
Quick registration • Fast withdrawal speeds • Football markets every day
18+ Please gamble responsibly. Terms apply.
Strong confidence on Dortmund avoiding defeat and the game reaching at least two goals. Slightly lower confidence on a clean sheet because Freiburg arrive in decent scoring form.
The reverse meeting finished 1-1 at Freiburg in December 2025, but Dortmund had dominated the previous recent meetings.
Before that draw, Dortmund won 4-1 away, 4-0 at home, 3-0 at home and 4-2 away. That is a strong pattern in favour of Dortmund, particularly in this fixture at Signal Iduna Park.
1) Dortmund have the stronger attacking output, averaging 2.03 goals per game.
2) Freiburg are dangerous enough going forward, but their 1.60 goals conceded per game is a concern away to a top-two side.
3) Dortmund’s home response after two defeats should be intense, especially with pressure still on near the top of the table.
Borussia Dortmund: L-L-W-W across the latest listed run. The defeats to Hoffenheim and Leverkusen are a concern, but the wins over Stuttgart and Hamburg show their level when they click.
SC Freiburg: W-W in the latest listed league matches, with wins over Heidenheim and Mainz. They arrive with confidence, but this is a tougher away assignment.
Dortmund at home: strong overall home profile, with recent home wins and a long-term head-to-head edge over Freiburg at this ground.
Freiburg away: capable of getting results, including the recent win at Mainz, but they have been vulnerable against stronger opponents.
Freiburg should make this competitive, but Dortmund’s home advantage, scoring power and head-to-head record give them the edge.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SC Freiburg
Please gamble responsibly – support here.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg?
Borussia Dortmund are the lean because of home advantage, stronger scoring numbers and a dominant recent head-to-head record.
Best bet for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg?
Borussia Dortmund to win looks the strongest betting angle.
Will both teams score?
Yes is a slight lean, with Freiburg in decent form and Dortmund still capable of conceding despite their strong overall defensive record.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SC Freiburg.