Variance (IRE)
Variance (IRE) is a gelding by Dark Angel out of a Footstepsinthesand mare and is yet to win from six starts. He has raced on turf and all-weather, over 6f to 1m4f, and on good, soft and standard going. His last run, at Gowran Park in Jul 2026, saw him finish 6 of 14 in the O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap off an official rating of 57, which was 8lb below his highest ever mark.
- 0–6Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=6 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 65Highest OR
- 108dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 92
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 66C | 47.5 | 2 · 66 / 47.5 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 92B | 72 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 2 | 70A | 61 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 70A | 66 | 1 · — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 92B | 60.5 | 2 · 92 / 60.5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 21,863 runs since Jan 2008 (1,593 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 15% from 107.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 107 | 16 | 15% | +3.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,694 | 452 | 12.2% | +0.9 | — |
| Good | 4,838 | 510 | 10.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 2,406 | 251 | 10.4% | −0.9 | — |
| Soft | 2,722 | 253 | 9.3% | −2 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 822 | 69 | 8.4% | −2.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 7,273 | 916 | 12.6% | +1.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2,064 | 278 | 13.5% | +2.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 10,694 | 1,251 | 11.7% | +0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4,990 | 546 | 10.9% | −0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,464 | 236 | 9.6% | −1.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,089 | 109 | 10% | −1.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 472 | 41 | 8.7% | −2.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 86 | 7 | 8.1% | −3.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Frumoasa (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 5f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Frumoasa (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frumoasa (IRE) | 4 | 1 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Chinois (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gowran Park (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Cleary | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Oisin Orr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 26+22d | Gowran Park (IRE) | O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap (Div I) Unhurried start - towards the back - given a squeeze approaching 2f out - up to 9th 1f out finishing on at an even gallop in the final furlong | 6/14 | ½ | 9-13 | 57 | 66C | 71A | Rory Cleary | 50/1 |
| 03 Jul 26+233d | Bellewstown | Smiths Of Drogheda Ford Classic Handicap Sat close to the pace fighting for control early - 5th at halfway - driven and lost touch soon after - allowed to drop away a furlong out to finish well beaten | 14/15 | 4¾ | 9-3 | 59 | 29C | 50C | Rory Cleary | 50/1 |
| 12 Nov 25+30d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Claiming Race Held up at the back - driven with no gain into the straight and never a factor from 1f out - stayed on same gait to finish 10th | 10/14 | 2½ | 8-8 | 65 | 92B | 55A | Rory Cleary | 33/1 |
| 13 Oct 25+16d | Roscommon | Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden Held up early towards the back - 5th at halfway - pushed along and 6th with 2f left - stayed on steadily through the closing stages to finish 6th | 6/7 | nse | 9-8 | — | 70A | 60A | Rory Cleary | 22/1 |
| 27 Sep 25+239d | Curragh | Fitzpatrick's Mercedes-Benz Maiden (Div 1) Settled midpack early - 6th at halfway then unable to make headway over 2f out - driven but flat late to finish well beaten | 13/17 | 2½ | 9-8 | — | 52C | 55C | Rory Cleary | 100/1 |
| 31 Jan 25 | Newcastle (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish start - sat in the pack for most of the way - pushed along with 2f left but couldn't find headway home | 7/8 | 7 | 8-12 | — | 52A | 53A | Oisin Orr | 9/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Variance (IRE) won?
- Variance (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2025 and 2026.
- Who trains Variance (IRE)?
- Variance (IRE) is trained by C W J Farrell, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 July 2026.
- Who is Variance (IRE)'s sire?
- Variance (IRE) is by Dark Angel (IRE) out of Summer Daydream (IRE), whose sire is Footstepsinthesand.
- What is Variance (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 57, from the run on 25 July 2026. The highest on record is 65.
- What is Variance (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Dark Angel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 21,863 runs since Jan 2008 (1,593 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 15% from 107.
- Who are Variance (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Summer Daydream (IRE), Variance (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Frumoasa (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Frumoasa (IRE)). The wins came over 5f. As at Oct 2026.