4:38 Ripon
This Class 6 handicap over 6f at Ripon on good ground brings together a field of eight modest performers where the KTB Fit scores point to a competitive but unremarkable contest. Liosa tops the ratings on 61 with Mr Cool not far behind on 56, while Wish This and Federal Envoy complete the main principals. Recent form is mixed across the board, with several runners dropping in class and most having limited or no experience at this track.
How the race shapes up
The race-level pace shape suggests a fairly even distribution with no pronounced speed bias. Several runners, including Liosa from draw 3, Mr Cool from 4 and Big Apple Jack from 2, are likely to be forward-going, while Rajstar in stall 1 could also take a hand early. The key question is whether the prominent types can dictate matters on this straight track or if the race will be decided by those timing their challenge from just off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Liosa KTB Selection61/100Modest performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning since last year.
- 2Mr Cool56/100Mr Cool is a modest performer who has been largely consistent this year without winning.
- 3Wish This53/100Modest performer who won over this trip last season but has been well held in four starts this year.
- 4Federal Envoy45/100Federal Envoy is a limited performer on balance with a recent string of modest efforts including a fifth last time.
- 5Fan Mail45/100Fan Mail is a modest performer who has been busy this year and showed his best form when runner-up over this trip at Beverley last month.
- 6Big Apple Jack45/100Modest performer who has shown some spark on his last two starts but remains winless after 11 runs.
- 7Rajstar44/100Rajstar is a limited performer who has shown enough to win a race over this trip from just five starts.
- 8Fircombe Hall31/100Fircombe Hall is a limited performer who has been in and out of form this year with a recent sequence of 162259.
The contenders
Liosa KTB Fit 61/100
Liosa is a modest performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning since last year. He has won over today's 6f trip but is 0-3 on good ground and makes his first start at Ripon. The trainer has no Ripon record but an overall 33% strike rate from just three runs, while Kevin Stott brings a 15% strike rate at the track from 159 rides with an A/E of 0.88. Recent form of 330-46 underlines his reliability at this level without quite getting his head in front. From draw 3 he should be able to take up a suitable position early.
Mr Cool KTB Fit 56/100
Mr Cool is a modest performer who has been largely consistent this year without winning. He showed his only previous visit to Ripon was a winning one and acts on good ground having scored twice from nine starts on it. The yard and jockey both have modest records here, the trainer at 11% strike rate with an A/E of 0.66 from 94 runs and the jockey at 10% with an A/E of 0.76 from 246 rides, yet the horse does look up to landing another race at this level. Dropping in class is a positive and his recent form of 472567 shows he remains competitive. From draw 4 he is expected to be prominent.
Wish This KTB Fit 53/100
Wish This is a modest performer who won over this trip last season but has been well held in four starts this year. Only placed once from five runs on good ground and the yard's modest 7% strike rate at Ripon with an A/E of 0.9 from 54 runs offers little encouragement. First run here adds an unknown element though the jockey's 11% record at the track from 92 rides with an A/E of 0.63 is respectable. The combination of Luke Morris and the trainer shows a 0/17 record with an A/E of 0.00 and minus £17.00 LSP. Recent form reads 1-6685 and he is dropping in class from draw 8.
Federal Envoy KTB Fit 45/100
Federal Envoy is a limited performer on balance with a recent string of modest efforts including a fifth last time. He has no experience at Ripon and has shown little on good ground in one previous run while dropping back to 6f where he has been beaten on all three attempts. The trainer holds a 12% strike rate here from 99 runs with an A/E of 1.01 and the jockey is operating at 14% from 316 rides with an A/E of 1. Their combined record is 4/45 with an A/E of 0.61 and minus £15.00 LSP. Recent form of 4-6905 confirms he has plenty to find from draw 7.
The rest of the field
Fan MailKTB Fit 45/100
Fan Mail is a modest performer who has been busy this year and showed his best form when runner-up over this trip at Beverley last month. He has run just once at Ripon and failed to fire, while five runs on good ground have also drawn a blank. The yard and jockey both have solid records at the track, the trainer at 10% strike rate with an A/E of 0.84 from 2364 runs and the jockey at 13% with an A/E of 0.86 from 1130 rides.
Big Apple JackKTB Fit 45/100
Big Apple Jack is a modest performer who has shown some spark on his last two starts but remains winless after 11 runs. He has a bit of placed form on good ground and at this trip yet looked limited when only fourth on his sole visit to Ripon. The Easterby yard’s modest record here is offset by Joanna Mason’s solid 15% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.11 from 118 rides.
RajstarKTB Fit 44/100
Rajstar is a limited performer who has shown enough to win a race over this trip from just five starts. He has the benefit of a good draw in stall one and his recent form includes a win and a solid fifth here last time. The trainer has a fair record at Ripon but the jockey is yet to score from 37 rides at the track.
Fircombe HallKTB Fit 31/100
Fircombe Hall is a limited performer who has been in and out of form this year with a recent sequence of 162259. He drops back to 6f today having won five times at the trip from 40 runs though his two efforts on good ground brought no win or place. The yard has a 7% strike rate from 106 runs at Ripon while Cam Hardie is operating at 3% from 228 rides here and the horse could only manage fourth on his sole visit to the track.
KTB verdict
Liosa is the KTB Selection and looks to have the most solid profile in a race where many have questions to answer. His consistent placed form since last year and proven ability over 6f give him a clear chance if he handles the good ground and the new track. Mr Cool, with a previous Ripon success and good-ground wins, is the most obvious danger, while Wish This and Federal Envoy may find things tough despite dropping in class. The race could be decided by which of the forward-going runners settles best early.
KTB Selection Liosa
This is the narrative read of the 4:38 Ripon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ripon racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has previous winning form at Ripon?
Mr Cool has won on his only previous visit to Ripon.
How many wins has Fircombe Hall recorded over 6f?
Fircombe Hall has won five times at 6f from 40 runs.
What is Rajstar's draw and how does his recent form read?
Rajstar is drawn in stall one with recent form of /5-518 that includes a win and a solid fifth last time.
Which jockey has the strongest strike rate at Ripon among those riding in this race?
Kevin Stott has a 15% strike rate at Ripon from 159 rides, matching Joanna Mason's 15% from 118 rides.
How many runs has Liosa had on good ground?
Liosa is 0-3 on good ground.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies