7:10 Lingfield
A modest Class 5 handicap over 2m68y at Lingfield on good ground brings together just six runners, most of them unproven at the track. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with An Bradan Feasa heading the numbers on 58, followed closely by Naasma on 53 and Kitty Foyle on 52. All six are dropping in class, and with no course form for five of them the race poses several unknowns despite the small field.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is even with no pronounced speed bias, though several runners prefer to come from off the pace. An Bradan Feasa and Kitty Foyle are likely to race prominently from their low draws, while Naasma and Rogue Empire tend to be held up. The key question is whether the race will be run at a true enough gallop to allow the hold-up performers to close effectively, or whether the prominent types can dictate matters on this tight track.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1An Bradan Feasa KTB Selection58/100Modest performer who arrives in decent nick after a win and a solid second on his last two starts.
- 2Naasma53/100Modest performer who has won once over this trip from six attempts and holds a solid record on good ground with a win and five places from seven runs.
- 3Kitty Foyle52/100Modest performer who has been consistent without winning of late, finishing second twice and then fourth on her last two starts.
- 4Love Is Golden46/100Modest performer who has won twice at this trip but was well below form on his only start this year.
- 5Diamond Bay46/100Diamond Bay is a modest performer who has been out of form recently with a string of modest efforts.
- 6Rogue Empire42/100Modest performer who arrives in decent nick after two wins in the last three starts.
The contenders
An Bradan Feasa KTB Fit 58/100
An Bradan Feasa is a modest performer who arrives in decent nick after a win and a solid second on his last two starts. He has won twice on good ground and twice at this trip from ten attempts though his overall strike rate remains ordinary. The 6-year-old drops in class from a draw of 2 which should allow him to race prominently. Jack Jones and Dylan Hogan both have established records at Lingfield without setting the place alight, the trainer showing a 14% strike rate and the jockey 10%. He has no course form on record but his recent efforts suggest he can go well again here.
Naasma KTB Fit 53/100
Naasma is a modest performer who has won once over this trip from six attempts and holds a solid record on good ground with a win and five places from seven runs. The 7-year-old drops in class and makes her first visit to Lingfield after 32 starts elsewhere, so that side remains an unknown. Pat Phelan has a 5% strike rate from 111 runs at the track while Darragh Keenan is slightly better at 8% from 84 rides here. She is likely to be held up from draw 6 and will need the race to unfold favourably if she is to capitalise on her placed form on good ground.
Kitty Foyle KTB Fit 52/100
Kitty Foyle is a modest performer who has been consistent without winning of late, finishing second twice and then fourth on her last two starts. She drops back from 3m1f to a trip where she has been placed twice in eight attempts, though she has never won over this distance. The 6-year-old has a good record on good ground with two wins and three places from seven runs and is drawn low which should suit her prominent style. Trainer Daisy Hitchins is without a winner from seven runs here while the 5lb claimer Millie Wonnacott has a solid 10% strike rate from 20 rides at the track.
Love Is Golden KTB Fit 46/100
Love Is Golden is a modest performer who has won twice at this trip but was well below form on his only start this year. The 8-year-old steps up markedly in distance today having last run over 1m4f while the yard's poor 2% strike rate at Lingfield from 165 runs offers little encouragement. He has an ordinary record on good ground with just one win from 16 starts and makes his first visit to the track. Jack Dace takes the ride and also has a modest record here, leaving the horse with plenty to find on recent evidence.
The rest of the field
Diamond BayKTB Fit 46/100
Diamond Bay is a modest performer who has been out of form recently with a string of modest efforts. He steps up in trip today having won once over this distance from 21 attempts though his record on good ground is ordinary with just one success from 13 starts. The yard has an 8% strike rate here while the jockey is operating at a strong 33% from 21 rides at the track.
Rogue EmpireKTB Fit 42/100
Rogue Empire is a modest performer who arrives in decent nick after two wins in the last three starts. He has already won over this trip and at this track from just two visits, while the good ground also looks fine. Trainer's modest strike rate here is the main negative.
KTB verdict
An Bradan Feasa looks the most solid option and is taken as the KTB Selection. He arrives in decent nick after a win and a solid second on his last two starts, drops in class, and has twice been successful at this trip on good ground. His prominent style from a low draw should serve him well if the pace is even. The main dangers are likely to be Naasma, who has a solid record on good ground, and Kitty Foyle, who has been consistently placed of late and drops back in trip. Rogue Empire cannot be entirely dismissed after two recent wins but the yard's modest record at the track is a concern.
KTB Selection An Bradan Feasa
This is the narrative read of the 7:10 Lingfield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Lingfield racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already won over this trip and at Lingfield?
Rogue Empire has already won over this trip and at this track from just two visits.
How many wins has An Bradan Feasa recorded on good ground?
An Bradan Feasa has won twice on good ground from seven runs.
What is the trainer strike rate at Lingfield for the handler of Kitty Foyle?
Daisy Hitchins has a 0% strike rate at Lingfield from seven runs.
Which runner is stepping up markedly in distance from a 1m4f run this year?
Love Is Golden is stepping up markedly in distance today having last run over 1m4f.
What is the jockey strike rate at Lingfield for the rider of Diamond Bay?
Alec Voikhansky has a 33% strike rate at Lingfield from 21 rides.
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