6:50 Windsor
This division of the Ambrose Loves Reggae EBF Novice Stakes at Windsor brings together an 11-strong field of two-year-olds over 6f12y on good to firm ground. The race features a mix of debutants and lightly raced juveniles, with the KTB Fit Scores indicating a relatively modest bunch overall and limited confidence in many runners given small samples of form. Note To Self tops the KTB rankings on the back of yard and jockey course figures despite ordinary efforts so far, while the likes of He's Readytorumble, Market Leader and Real Bullet bring different unknowns into the equation.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a race that should be run at a genuine gallop with several prominent or forward-going types in the line-up. Note To Self and Bollengo Boy are likely to be towards the front from their lower draws, while He's Readytorumble and Market Leader are expected to track or race prominently from higher stalls. The key question is whether the leaders can get away with it on this fast surface or whether the race will fall apart late, allowing something with a bit of toe to close in from mid-division.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Note To Self KTB Selection57/100Note To Self has shown ordinary form in two runs at this trip so far and remains hard to assess with any confidence given the small sample.
- 2He's Readytorumble53/100He's Readytorumble showed only modest form when sixth on his 5f debut.
- 3Market Leader52/100Market Leader is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 14 percent strike rate at Windsor from 279 runs.
- 4Rex Regum51/100Rex Regum showed little at Windsor on debut when finishing ninth of ten.
- 5Bollengo Boy49/100Bollengo Boy showed little at Windsor on debut, finishing eighth of 10 without threatening.
- 6Real Bullet48/100Real Bullet is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a steady 17% strike rate at Windsor.
- 7Stoney Wood47/100Stoney Wood has shown very little in two starts so far finishing eighth and tenth.
- 8Coatimundi46/100Coatimundi showed very little on his only start so far over this trip and remains hard to assess with just one run behind him.
- 9Arctic Tsar44/100Arctic Tsar showed very little on his only start to date when finishing eighth.
- 10Kigali44/100Kigali has shown only modest form in two runs at this trip and remains lightly raced with a small sample to judge.
- 11Bossy Angel42/100Bossy Angel has shown little in two starts to date, finishing ninth on debut here over this trip and then again last time.
The contenders
Note To Self KTB Fit 57/100
Note To Self has shown ordinary form in two runs at this trip so far and remains hard to assess with any confidence given the small sample. The yard's 32 percent strike rate at Windsor from 85 runs is a clear plus and the colt is in the hands of Benoit de la Sayette who boasts a 23 percent strike rate at the track from 61 rides. He has one run on good to firm with no win or place and holds no course form on record. His ability still looks modest on what he has shown but the trainer and jockey combination commands respect in a race short on solid benchmarks.
He's Readytorumble KTB Fit 53/100
He's Readytorumble showed only modest form when sixth on his 5f debut. The step up to 6f poses a fresh question for this lightly raced colt and the small sample means his ability remains hard to pin down. Jack Channon has a solid 20 percent strike rate at Windsor from 79 runs while Tom Marquand takes the ride and the pair have combined for a 25 percent strike rate from 68 runners. He is unproven on good to firm ground and holds no course form. The step up in class adds another layer of uncertainty but the yard's record here is encouraging.
Market Leader KTB Fit 52/100
Market Leader is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 14 percent strike rate at Windsor from 279 runs. Connections are strong with James Doyle on board and the trainer-jockey partnership has recorded a 25 percent strike rate from 63 runners. With no racecourse form to go on the rest is guesswork based on pedigree and sales price. He is by Blue Point whose progeny have a 14 percent overall win rate from 3129 runners and holds no course win on record. The market has taken a view but the absence of any public form leaves plenty to chance.
Rex Regum KTB Fit 51/100
Rex Regum showed little at Windsor on debut when finishing ninth of ten. The small sample means his ability remains hard to gauge and the trip produced no encouragement. Tom Clover has a solid 15 percent strike rate at the track from 92 runs while Jack Mitchell is aboard and the pair hold a 14 percent strike rate from 469 runners together. He has one run on good to firm with no win or place and has already run once here without placing. Stepping up in class looks a stiff task on what he has shown to date.
Bollengo Boy KTB Fit 49/100
Bollengo Boy showed little at Windsor on debut, finishing eighth of 10 without threatening. The yard has a solid 11 percent strike rate here from a big sample of 442 runners and Rhys Clutterbuck rides with an 11 percent strike rate at the track from 100 rides. With just one run on the clock and a small sample on both ground and trip, there is not much else to go on. He has one run on good to firm with no win or place and has already been seen to finish eighth over course and distance. The low strike rate of the trainer-jockey combination adds to the reservations.
The rest of the field
Real BulletKTB Fit 48/100
Real Bullet is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a steady 17 percent strike rate at Windsor from 126 runs. The colt cost 72,000gns as a yearling, is by Mehmas whose progeny have a 12 percent overall win rate from 7699 runners, and is in the care of George Boughey with Oisin Murphy booked. With no racecourse form to go on and low data confidence the level of ability remains entirely unknown.
Stoney WoodKTB Fit 47/100
Stoney Wood has shown very little in two starts so far finishing eighth and tenth. The colt was beaten a long way on his only visit to Windsor and has failed to trouble the judge at this trip. Trainer Michael Bell has a 12 percent strike rate from 563 runs here while Stevie Donohoe has a modest record at the track. He has one run on good to firm with no win or place.
CoatimundiKTB Fit 46/100
Coatimundi showed very little on his only start so far over this trip and remains hard to assess with just one run behind him. The Hills yard has a solid 14 percent strike rate at Windsor from a big sample of 349 runners. With such a small sample overall the colt has to improve markedly to figure. He has one run on good to firm with no win or place.
Arctic TsarKTB Fit 44/100
Arctic Tsar showed very little on his only start to date when finishing eighth. The Clive Cox yard has a solid 14 percent strike rate at Windsor from a big sample of 617 runs. With just one run on the board the colt remains very much an unknown quantity. He is unproven on good to firm ground and is dropping in class.
KigaliKTB Fit 44/100
Kigali has shown only modest form in two runs at this trip and remains lightly raced with a small sample to judge. The yard records an 8 percent strike rate from 39 runs at Windsor. Data confidence is low so treat the form with caution. He is unproven on good to firm ground.
Bossy AngelKTB Fit 42/100
Bossy Angel has shown little in two starts to date, finishing ninth on debut here over this trip and then again last time. The yard has a modest 10 percent strike rate at Windsor from a huge sample of 794 runners. With only two runs on the board and no meaningful going data this remains very much a watching brief. He has two runs on good to firm with no win or place.
KTB verdict
Note To Self is the KTB Selection. He has shown only ordinary form in two starts but the yard's excellent 32 percent strike rate at Windsor from 85 runs and the presence of Benoit de la Sayette who boasts a strong 23 percent strike rate at the track give him the strongest profile in a race where many runners bring very limited public form. The selection can put his experience to use from a workable draw if the race is run at a strong pace. Main dangers are the newcomers Market Leader and Real Bullet who bring strong trainer-jockey combinations and pedigree appeal, along with He's Readytorumble who steps up in trip and class having shown modest form on debut.
KTB Selection Note To Self
This is the narrative read of the 6:50 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best trainer strike rate at Windsor?
Note To Self's trainer has a 32 percent strike rate at Windsor from 85 runs.
How many runners in the field have previous Windsor form?
Five runners have previous Windsor form: Rex Regum, Bollengo Boy, Stoney Wood, Bossy Angel and one debutant has no course form but the others listed have run here without placing.
Which horse is stepping up in class?
He's Readytorumble and Rex Regum are both stepping up in class.
Who has the strongest jockey course record at Windsor in this race?
Benoit de la Sayette has a 23 percent strike rate at Windsor from 61 rides.
Which horses are unproven on good to firm ground?
He's Readytorumble, Arctic Tsar and Kigali are unproven on good to firm ground.
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