3:07 Downpatrick
This 18-runner Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Hurdle over 2m1f165y at Downpatrick brings together a mix of useful and fair performers, many of whom are unproven on the prevailing ground and are reaching for first-time headgear. The KTB Fit scores highlight a clear top pick in Bryson on 69, with the next four principals clustered between 56 and 58, suggesting a race where class and course experience could prove decisive. Overall the numbers point to a competitive heat in which recent form, trainer record at the track and the application of headgear will shape the outcome.
How the race shapes up
With a field this large and a pace shape that looks on the steady side, the race is likely to be run at a sensible tempo early on. Several runners have a prominent run-style, which should see them contest the lead or track it closely from the outset. The key question is whether the leaders can maintain their position up the stiff Downpatrick climb or if the race will be won from off the pace by one of the more patiently ridden types.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Bryson KTB Selection69/100Useful performer who has shown consistent placed form at this trip.
- 2Pahlavi58/100Pahlavi is a useful performer who has won at this track from just two runs and also has a win at today's trip.
- 3Kalsman57/100Kalsman is a useful performer with a solid career record and has won once from eight runs at Downpatrick.
- 4King Of The Greys57/100King Of The Greys is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings yet has failed to build on early promise with a string of poor efforts including a pulled-…
- 5Sea Of Doubt56/100Sea Of Doubt is a useful performer who has won over this trip and showed solid placed efforts at this track.
- 6Broken Ice55/100Useful performer who arrives in reasonable form having posted solid efforts in four of his last five starts.
- 7Firstupbestdressed53/100Fair performer who has run five times at Downpatrick without placing and looks to have his work cut out again.
- 8Small Bucks49/100Useful performer on his day but has been out of form for some time and his recent efforts make grim reading.
- 9Turkey And Ham48/100Fair performer who has won at today's trip but arrives on the back of a modest eighth last time and now drops back in distance.
- 10Trixaboutmaisie48/100Trixaboutmaisie is a fair maiden who has shown little in three starts to date.
- 11Sneddy Eddie47/100Sneddy Eddie is a fair sort who has been out of form for some time with five poor efforts this year.
- 12Centaq47/100Centaq is a fair sort who has run eight times at Downpatrick without winning but has been placed twice over this trip.
- 13Stormy Jenn46/100Stormy Jenn is a fair handicap hurdler who has been out of form for some time and was pulled up or fell in her last two completed starts.
- 14My Mate Tony45/100Useful performer on his day but recent form of 7-0-P0 is poor and he now tries first-time headgear.
- 15Sekakarma40/100Sekakarma is a fair sort who has been out of form lately with a string of modest efforts including a ninth last time.
- 16Volez Vous39/100Volez Vous has been struggling badly of late with a string of poor efforts including three pulled-ups.
- 17Gortmore Lady38/100Fair performer who has been placed three times from six runs at Downpatrick without winning.
- 18Glenriver35/100Glenriver is a fair performer who has struggled badly of late with three pulled-ups from his last four starts.
The contenders
Bryson KTB Fit 69/100
Bryson is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form at this trip. He finished second here on his only visit to Downpatrick and was runner-up again last time out. First-time headgear is now fitted. The W R Crawford yard boasts a 50% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 2.98 from just two runs, while Sam Ewing operates at a 16% strike rate here with an A/E of 1 from 55 rides. He remains unproven on the ground having had no previous runs on it. His recent form figures read 0B6-U2 and at the age of six he brings solid placed efforts into the equation.
Pahlavi KTB Fit 58/100
Pahlavi is a useful performer who has won at this track from just two runs and also has a win at today's trip. He has been out of form this year with a string of modest efforts including a pulled-up last time, though first-time headgear is now applied. The yard's modest 6% strike-rate at Downpatrick from 263 runs adds a note of caution. His recent form figures read -0655P. He remains unproven on the prevailing ground. At the age of nine he will need to bounce back from those modest displays.
Kalsman KTB Fit 57/100
Kalsman is a useful performer with a solid career record and has won once from eight runs at Downpatrick. He drops back in trip today having last run over two and a half miles further, so the shorter distance is an unknown that could suit or expose him. The trainer's modest 3% strike rate at the track from 241 runs is a negative while first-time headgear is now applied on ground he has never tried. His recent form figures read 61-903. At the age of eight he possesses course-winning form but arrives with questions to answer.
King Of The Greys KTB Fit 57/100
King Of The Greys is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings yet has failed to build on early promise with a string of poor efforts including a pulled-up run here. He has tried this trip twice without success and now goes in first-time headgear. The yard’s modest record at Downpatrick from 45 runs adds little encouragement with an 11% strike rate and A/E of 0.79. His recent form figures read 408-8P. At the age of five he remains unproven on the ground. The pull-up on his sole previous course visit does not read well.
Sea Of Doubt KTB Fit 56/100
Sea Of Doubt is a useful performer who has won over this trip and showed solid placed efforts at this track. The first-time headgear is an interesting addition given his recent consistency but the jockey is still seeking a first winner from 18 rides here. Trainer Ian Patrick Donoghue has a modest 10% strike-rate from 71 runs at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.72. The trainer and jockey combination shows 3/66 (5%) with an A/E of 0.56 and -£16.50 LSP. His recent form figures read 5-1623 and at the age of six he has a course win to his name from six runs.
The rest of the field
Broken IceKTB Fit 55/100
Broken Ice is a useful performer who arrives in reasonable form having posted solid efforts in four of his last five starts. First run at Downpatrick and first try at this trip both pose fresh questions while he remains unproven on the prevailing ground. First-time headgear is now applied. His recent form figures read 4448-5.
FirstupbestdressedKTB Fit 53/100
Firstupbestdressed is a fair performer who has run five times at Downpatrick without placing and looks to have his work cut out again. Drops back in trip today having been well held over further last time, while the first-time headgear is an unknown. Trainer has an 8% strike rate from 37 runs here and the jockey records a 10% strike rate from 21 rides. His recent form figures read 7UU4-3.
Small BucksKTB Fit 49/100
Small Bucks is a useful performer on his day but has been out of form for some time and his recent efforts make grim reading. He has shown little at this track and steps up in trip today having failed to make the frame in four previous attempts at the distance. The yard's poor record here from 13 runs adds to the negatives. His recent form figures read 0P-740.
Turkey And HamKTB Fit 48/100
Turkey And Ham is a fair performer who has won at today's trip but arrives on the back of a modest eighth last time and now drops back in distance. First time headgear is tried and he makes his debut at Downpatrick where both trainer and jockey have modest records. Going is an unknown. His recent form figures read 61/6-8.
TrixaboutmaisieKTB Fit 48/100
Trixaboutmaisie is a fair maiden who has shown little in three starts to date. She has been well beaten both times at this track and now drops back in trip having failed to make an impact at this distance previously. The trainer holds a solid 15 percent strike rate here from 139 runs while the jockey is operating at just 3 percent from 77 rides. Her recent form figures read 870-.
Sneddy EddieKTB Fit 47/100
Sneddy Eddie is a fair sort who has been out of form for some time with five poor efforts this year. He steps up in trip for the first time in headgear while making his debut at Downpatrick where the yard and jockey both hold solid records. The unknown ground adds another question mark. His recent form figures read 000-05.
CentaqKTB Fit 47/100
Centaq is a fair sort who has run eight times at Downpatrick without winning but has been placed twice over this trip. He has shown consistent form here in recent seasons yet his latest efforts have been no better than mid-division. The trainer holds a solid record at the track while the jockey is less experienced but has a similar strike rate. His recent form figures read R2-646.
Stormy JennKTB Fit 46/100
Stormy Jenn is a fair handicap hurdler who has been out of form for some time and was pulled up or fell in her last two completed starts. She steps up in trip today having shown little at 2m recently, and this is her first run at Downpatrick. First-time headgear is reached for while both trainer and jockey have modest records at the track. Her recent form figures read 863P-F.
My Mate TonyKTB Fit 45/100
My Mate Tony is a useful performer on his day but recent form of 7-0-P0 is poor and he now tries first-time headgear. Trainer has a modest 4% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey is still seeking a first course winner from six rides. Trip is a fresh question today and he remains unproven on this ground. His recent form figures read 7/0-P0.
SekakarmaKTB Fit 40/100
Sekakarma is a fair sort who has been out of form lately with a string of modest efforts including a ninth last time. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a modest 6% strike rate from 34 runs at Downpatrick while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from 27 rides here. His recent form figures read /0P-59.
Volez VousKTB Fit 39/100
Volez Vous has been struggling badly of late with a string of poor efforts including three pulled-ups. A fair performer on his day he is unproven on this ground and now drops back in trip having failed to make the frame in his only previous run at this distance. First-time headgear is tried by a yard with a modest record at the track. His recent form figures read P0P0-9.
Gortmore LadyKTB Fit 38/100
Gortmore Lady is a fair performer who has been placed three times from six runs at Downpatrick without winning. Drops back in trip today having last run over two and a half miles and is unproven on this ground. First-time headgear is now applied. Her recent form figures read 57P-B9.
GlenriverKTB Fit 35/100
Glenriver is a fair performer who has struggled badly of late with three pulled-ups from his last four starts. He has shown a bit more at this track when finishing fourth on his only visit and now tries headgear for the first time while dropping back in trip. Trainer and jockey both have very small samples here and the horse remains unproven on the current ground. His recent form figures read P/PPP-.
KTB verdict
Bryson stands out as the KTB Selection. He is a useful performer with consistent placed form at this trip, has already shown his liking for Downpatrick by finishing second on his only visit, and was runner-up again on his most recent start. First-time headgear could sharpen him up further while the trainer’s excellent 50% strike rate at the track from a small sample adds significant confidence. The main dangers are likely to come from Sea Of Doubt, who brings a course win and recent consistency, and the course-winning Pahlavi if the first-time headgear helps him bounce back from a poor run of form.
KTB Selection Bryson
This is the narrative read of the 3:07 Downpatrick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Downpatrick racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest trainer record at Downpatrick?
Bryson’s trainer W R Crawford has a 50% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 2.98 from two runs.
How many principals are wearing first-time headgear?
All five principals – Bryson, Pahlavi, Kalsman, King Of The Greys and Sea Of Doubt – are fitted with first-time headgear.
Which horse has the most course experience at Downpatrick?
Centaq has run eight times at Downpatrick, the highest number in the field.
Who has the best jockey strike rate at the track among those with available figures?
Sneddy Eddie’s jockey Jack Kennedy has a 19% strike rate at Downpatrick from 165 rides.
Which runner is stepping back in trip after racing over much further last time?
Kalsman drops back in trip today having last run over two and a half miles further.
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