5:05 Bath
This Class 6 handicap over a mile at Bath brings together a field of eight limited performers, with the KTB Fit ratings tightly bunched between 50 and 37. The selection, My Ambition, shares the top Fit score of 50 alongside Havana Club, while the remainder are rated 49 and below. With every horse unproven on the unknown ground, the race carries plenty of question marks, and the modest overall ability on display suggests a contest that could fall to the one who handles the conditions best.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough run-style evidence across the field to form a firm view. Weston Court is the only horse noted as tending to make the running or race prominently, though that assessment itself comes with limited evidence. How the race unfolds will therefore be difficult to predict in advance, and the key question is which horse will be best suited by the unknown ground while adapting to whatever tempo materialises.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1My Ambition KTB Selection50/100Limited performer who has won three times at this track from 13 runs and also has five wins from 31 starts at this trip.
- 2Havana Club50/100Havana Club is a limited performer who has been consistent enough to place twice from his last six starts and has won both here and at today's trip.
- 3Mbappe49/100Modest performer who has won three times at this trip but has been below form on his last two starts.
- 4Thai Princess49/100Thai Princess has shown only modest form in four runs this year with a best effort of fourth and now steps up from 7f to an untested 1m.
- 5Blue Hero48/100Blue Hero is a limited performer who has run 50 times in the last year yet still shows up regularly.
- 6Whisper Of Mist44/100Limited horse who has shown very little in three starts to date, finishing no better than sixth.
- 7Weston Court39/100Weston Court is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 8Rival37/100Rival is a limited performer who has been placed twice from five runs at Bath without winning.
The contenders
My Ambition KTB Fit 50/100
My Ambition is a limited performer who has won three times at this track from 13 runs and also has five wins from 31 starts at this trip. Recent form is modest and the yard's 12 percent strike-rate at Bath from a big sample is no better than average. Unproven on this ground adds a further question mark. The seven-year-old is drawn in stall six with George Bass taking the ride for Denis Coakley, whose trainer-jockey combination shows an 11 percent strike rate. He remains the KTB Selection in a race where his course record stands out among a modest bunch.
Havana Club KTB Fit 50/100
Havana Club is a limited performer who has been consistent enough to place twice from his last six starts and has won both here and at today's trip. The yard hold a solid 15% strike rate at Bath from a big sample. He remains unproven on this ground though and that adds a question mark. The four-year-old has form figures of 884264 this year and is drawn in stall seven, with Finley Marsh in the saddle for Adrian Wintle. His placed efforts and course success give him every chance of figuring prominently again.
Mbappe KTB Fit 49/100
Mbappe is a modest performer who has won three times at this trip but has been below form on his last two starts. First-time headgear is a positive but he remains unproven on this ground and was only fourth of six when he tried the course previously. Trainer's modest strike rate here adds little encouragement. The five-year-old, now fitted with headgear for the first time, has form figures of 8-3167 and is drawn in stall four for Mark Loughnane and Dylan Hogan. His ability to win over the trip remains his main asset in a race short on star quality.
Thai Princess KTB Fit 49/100
Thai Princess has shown only modest form in four runs this year with a best effort of fourth and now steps up from 7f to an untested 1m. She is a limited performer on the figures and first-time headgear is an unknown. The Balding yard has a 15% strike rate at Bath from 476 runs. The three-year-old is drawn in stall two with Callum Hutchinson riding for Andrew Balding, and her yard's respectable record at the track offers some hope despite her own limitations. The headgear may help her settle better on the step up in trip.
The rest of the field
Blue HeroKTB Fit 48/100
Blue Hero is a limited performer who has run 50 times in the last year yet still shows up regularly. He has a solid record here with nine wins from 32 starts and has won three times at this trip, while the trainer maintains a 15% strike rate from 253 runs at Bath. The main unknowns are how he will handle this ground as he has never run on it.
Whisper Of MistKTB Fit 44/100
Whisper Of Mist is a limited horse who has shown very little in three starts to date, finishing no better than sixth. The one run here at Bath produced a similar result and the trip has also failed to spark anything so far. With only three career runs in the book this is still very early days but there are few positives to take at this stage.
Weston CourtKTB Fit 39/100
Weston Court is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He has won over this trip in the past and showed a bit more spark when second at this course over 5f last month, though he is now stepping back up in distance having last run over 7f. First-time headgear is fitted while the trainer has no recorded runners at Bath.
RivalKTB Fit 37/100
Rival is a limited performer who has been placed twice from five runs at Bath without winning. He has won once over today's trip from 26 attempts and arrives in reasonable form having shown placed efforts on his last two starts here. The yard's modest 5% strike-rate at the track is a negative while the horse remains unproven on this ground.
KTB verdict
My Ambition is the KTB Selection and his three wins from 13 runs at Bath stand out in a field of limited performers. The seven-year-old's course record gives him a clear edge over most of these, even though recent form has been modest and he remains unproven on the unknown ground. Havana Club looks the main danger on the back of consistent placed efforts and a solid yard record at the track, while Mbappe and Thai Princess both sport first-time headgear that could spark improvement. The race is likely to be decided by which horse copes best with conditions that none have encountered before.
KTB Selection My Ambition
This is the narrative read of the 5:05 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Bath?
Blue Hero, with nine wins from 32 starts.
How many wins has My Ambition recorded at this track and trip?
My Ambition has three wins at Bath from 13 runs and five wins from 31 starts at this trip.
Which runners are wearing headgear for the first time?
Mbappe, Thai Princess and Weston Court are all fitted with first-time headgear.
What is the trainer strike rate at Bath for the yard of the selection?
Denis Coakley has a 12% strike rate at Bath from 227 runs.
Has any horse in the field won over this trip before?
My Ambition, Havana Club, Mbappe, Blue Hero, Weston Court and Rival have all won over today's trip.
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