2:43 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 5 handicap over 6f at Wolverhampton features a field of 13 where the KTB numbers point to a competitive but modest contest overall. The top five in the KTB Fit rankings are separated by just six points, underlining how little separates many of these runners on paper. With the pace shape rated as unclear due to limited run-style evidence, the race could develop in any number of ways on a surface that remains unproven for the majority of the field.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough run-style data across the field to form a firm view on how the race will unfold. King Of Chaos is the only horse noted as usually held up and producing its effort late, though that assessment comes with limited evidence. Several others have no specified run style, leaving the key question as whether an uncontested lead materialises or if the race breaks up into a more tactical affair from the stalls.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Akabusi KTB Selection61/100Modest performer who has won once over this trip and once at Wolverhampton from just two visits.
- 2Fifty Nifty57/100Modest performer who has been well held on his last two starts and now drops back to 6f for the first time since last year.
- 3Monsieur Kodi56/100Monsieur Kodi is a fair performer who has won seven times at this trip but arrives in modest recent form and has yet to place from four runs at Wolverhampton.
- 4King Of Chaos55/100Modest performer who has won once at this trip and once here from just two runs at Wolverhampton.
- 5Yachtsman55/100Modest performer who has shown his best at this trip, winning once and placing on three other occasions from five runs.
- 6Veydari51/100Modest performer who has shown bits of form on turf but makes his first start at Wolverhampton today.
- 7Hierarchy50/100Modest performer who has won five times over this trip but has been largely out of form this year and finished no better than fifth in four runs here.
- 8Obsidian Verse46/100Modest performer who showed improved form when winning a similar race here over this trip last month.
- 9Nebbia45/100Modest performer who has shown some consistency, finishing second in both runs at this track including a placed effort here last time.
- 10Twilight Madness44/100Modest performer who has won once from five starts at Wolverhampton and also has four wins from 29 runs at this trip.
- 11Far Too Fizzy44/100Modest performer who has run well here without winning, finishing placed on two of three visits to Wolverhampton.
- 12Veil Of Clouds44/100Modest performer who has shown steady placed form in three starts at maiden level.
- 13Red Snapper40/100Red Snapper is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on the AW but arrives in inconsistent form after a string of placed efforts and a poor latest ru…
The contenders
Akabusi KTB Fit 61/100
Akabusi is a modest performer who has won once over this trip and once at Wolverhampton from just two visits to the track. His recent form is patchy yet he has shown enough to be competitive at this level when on song. The yard posts a 15% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 247 runs with an A/E of 1.11, while Rob Hornby has a 10% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.95 from 763 rides. First-time headgear is now tried while he remains unproven on the surface. From draw 7, this three-year-old brings the best KTB Fit rating in the field at 61 and is the selection.
Fifty Nifty KTB Fit 57/100
Fifty Nifty is a modest performer who has been well held on his last two starts and now drops back to 6f for the first time since last year. He showed some promise when fourth over course and distance on his only previous visit here though the yard’s solid 19% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 47 runs with an A/E of 1.57 offers encouragement. Martin Dunne and Darragh Keenan combine with a 4% strike rate from 69 rides and an A/E of 0.53. First-time headgear is another unknown on ground he has never tackled. His KTB Fit of 57 places him second in the rankings.
Monsieur Kodi KTB Fit 56/100
Monsieur Kodi is a fair performer who has won seven times at this trip but arrives in modest recent form and has yet to place from four runs at Wolverhampton. The yard's 11% strike rate here from nine runners is nothing to shout about and the 5 lb claimer Ethan Tindall has limited experience at the track with a 14% strike rate and A/E of 1.31 from 43 rides. First-time headgear is now fitted on ground that remains an unknown. His recent form reads 2-3174 and he holds a KTB Fit of 56 from draw 11.
King Of Chaos KTB Fit 55/100
King Of Chaos is a modest performer who has won once at this trip and once here from just two runs at Wolverhampton. Recent form is patchy with a win sandwiched between some heavy defeats and he is drawn widest of all today in stall 12. Trainer Dylan Cunha and jockey Marco Ghiani both have solid records at the track, though the combination is 0 from 7 with no A/E shown. The horse remains unproven on this surface and is held up, usually producing its effort late according to the limited evidence available. He carries a KTB Fit of 55.
Yachtsman KTB Fit 55/100
Yachtsman is a modest performer who has shown his best at this trip, winning once and placing on three other occasions from five runs. He was placed on his only visit to Wolverhampton and the yard's solid 19% strike rate here from 37 runs with an A/E of 1.38 offers some encouragement, though the jockey is operating below par at the track with a 9% strike rate and A/E of 0.86 from 180 rides. First-time headgear is now fitted on ground that remains unproven. Stepping up in class, his KTB Fit stands at 55 from draw 9.
The rest of the field
VeydariKTB Fit 51/100
Veydari is a modest performer who has shown bits of form on turf but makes his first start at Wolverhampton today. He has won over this trip in the past and his latest second suggests he remains competitive at this level, though the wide draw in stall 13 is far from ideal. Trainer Julie Camacho holds an 8% strike rate here from 433 runs while Dylan Hogan is unproven at the track. His KTB Fit is 51.
HierarchyKTB Fit 50/100
Hierarchy is a modest performer who has won five times over this trip but has been largely out of form this year and finished no better than fifth in four runs here. First-time headgear is now fitted and the yard’s record at the track is respectable with a 13% strike rate from 1540 runs and an A/E of 0.88. Ground remains an unknown. He has a KTB Fit of 50.
Obsidian VerseKTB Fit 46/100
Obsidian Verse is a modest performer who showed improved form when winning a similar race here over this trip last month. He has run creditably since without quite building on that success and is drawn wide today in stall 10. Trainer holds a solid 16% strike rate at the track from 484 runs while the jockey's 11% record from 82 rides is respectable. His KTB Fit is 46.
NebbiaKTB Fit 45/100
Nebbia is a modest performer who has shown some consistency, finishing second in both runs at this track including a placed effort here last time. She steps up from 5f to 6f today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous tries at the trip. Trainer has a solid 14% strike rate from 443 runs at Wolverhampton while jockey posts 13% from 565 rides at the course. KTB Fit is 45.
Twilight MadnessKTB Fit 44/100
Twilight Madness is a modest performer who has won once from five starts at Wolverhampton and also has four wins from 29 runs at this trip. Recent form of 323198 shows consistent placings mixed with the occasional poor run, while the yard posts an 8% strike rate from 96 runs here. Going is unproven and the 7lb claimer is aboard for the first time. Stepping up in class, his KTB Fit is 44.
Far Too FizzyKTB Fit 44/100
Far Too Fizzy is a modest performer who has run well here without winning, finishing placed on two of three visits to Wolverhampton. She steps up from 5f to a trip she has won over before, though her recent form has been patchy. Trainer and jockey both have below-average records at the track. KTB Fit is 44.
Veil Of CloudsKTB Fit 44/100
Veil Of Clouds is a modest performer who has shown steady placed form in three starts at maiden level. She drops back to 6f today having been placed over the trip on debut and first-time headgear is now applied. Trainer holds a solid 21% strike rate at Wolverhampton while the jockey's 13% record here is in line with market expectation. Dropping in class, her KTB Fit is 44.
Red SnapperKTB Fit 40/100
Red Snapper is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on the AW but arrives in inconsistent form after a string of placed efforts and a poor latest run. The switch to first-time headgear comes as he steps back up to 6f having failed to land a blow at the trip in three previous attempts. Trainer Kathy Turner has a solid 22% strike rate here from nine runs while the jockey remains winless from 15 rides at the track. KTB Fit is 40.
KTB verdict
Akabusi stands out as the KTB Selection with a Fit rating of 61 that edges him clear of the rest. He has already won at this trip and at Wolverhampton from limited attempts, and the first-time headgear could help him produce his best at this level when on song. The main dangers are likely to come from Fifty Nifty, who drops in class with encouragement from the yard’s record at the track, and Monsieur Kodi, who brings seven wins at the distance despite modest recent form and a poor record here. King Of Chaos and Yachtsman cannot be ruled out either given their own course form and the modest nature of the race.
KTB Selection Akabusi
This is the narrative read of the 2:43 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score in the race?
Akabusi with a KTB Fit of 61.
How many wins has Monsieur Kodi recorded at this trip?
Monsieur Kodi has won seven times at this trip.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Wolverhampton among those with at least 200 runs?
Simon & Ed Crisford with a 21% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 230 runs.
How many of these runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Seven runners are wearing first-time headgear: Akabusi, Fifty Nifty, Monsieur Kodi, Yachtsman, Hierarchy, Veil Of Clouds and Red Snapper.
Which horse has won over course and distance in the past?
Obsidian Verse showed improved form when winning a similar race here over this trip last month.
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