2:02 Killarney
The 2:02 at Killarney is a 15-runner Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle run over 2m6f180y on ground yet to be confirmed. A field mixing some lightly raced types with those who have shown modest or fair form assembles, and the KTB Fit Scores point to a competitive heat headed by Mysilverriverfeale on 58, with Fraher Field, Tumbling In, Chisel Hill and Another Blunder completing the top five. Most runners are unproven on the prevailing surface and several step up markedly in trip, adding layers of uncertainty to a race where recent placed efforts and stamina reserves will be key.
How the race shapes up
With a pace shape that looks likely to be on the steady side given the mix of run-styles on show, the race could develop into a test of stamina as the field stretches out over almost three miles. Mysilverriverfeale and Fraher Field have both shown a preference for racing prominently or in the front rank, while Tumbling In and Chisel Hill are more mid-division types who will look to improve as the pace lifts. The key question is whether those who have never been beyond two and a half miles can find the necessary reserves when the tempo increases in the straight, or whether the prominent runners can dictate matters throughout.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Mysilverriverfeale KTB Selection58/100Mysilverriverfeale has shown useful ability on his last two starts and arrives here in decent form after finishing second last time.
- 2Fraher Field54/100Smart performer who has shown strong form this season with two wins and a second from his last four starts.
- 3Tumbling In54/100Tumbling In has shown fair form in three starts, finishing third on his most recent outing after two placed efforts.
- 4Chisel Hill51/100Smart performer who has shown steady improvement in three starts, finishing a solid second on his most recent outing.
- 5Another Blunder49/100Another Blunder has shown very little in five starts with a string of weak efforts including three heavy defeats this year.
- 6Some Pretender48/100Some Pretender has shown consistent placed form in weaker races but was well held when stepped up in grade last time.
- 7Pets Georgina48/100Recent form of 77-U21 shows a win two starts back but also plenty of lesser efforts and a fall.
- 8Jessie Roe46/100Jessie Roe has shown very little so far with a string of modest efforts and no placed finishes from seven starts.
- 9Sonna Lady44/100Sonna Lady has shown little in two starts to date, finishing down the field both times.
- 10Greenroad Girl44/100Greenroad Girl is a debutant with no racecourse experience.
- 11Glenmore Graduate41/100Glenmore Graduate has shown very little so far with two pulled-ups and a couple of remote finishes from his four starts.
- 12Daily Devotion41/100Daily Devotion has only two runs in the last year and showed little in either of them.
- 13Uno Me I Like My T40/100Uno Me I Like My T has shown little so far with a recent form line of PF-3FP and only one placed effort from five starts.
- 14Torque De Lune38/100Torque De Lune has shown moderate form at shorter trips with a placed effort over 2m4f last time but now steps up in distance for the first time.
- 15Keyser Smokesy34/100Keyser Smokesy is a fair performer who showed his best effort when third on his final start last season.
The contenders
Mysilverriverfeale KTB Fit 58/100
Mysilverriverfeale has shown useful ability on his last two starts and arrives here in decent form after finishing second last time. He has already run once at this track without impressing and steps up in trip for the first time today. The yard's modest 6 percent strike rate at Killarney is offset by the jockey's solid 13 percent record here while first-time headgear is now applied. Recent form figures of 668-52 underline his progress, and at the age of five he remains open to further improvement as a lightly raced sort. Daniel King's partnership with the Thomas Cooper stable carries a 2/14 record with a positive A/E of 1.76, and the application of headgear may help him settle better on the step up to 2m6f180y. Unproven on the ground but with a solid recent profile, he holds the strongest KTB Fit Score in the field.
Fraher Field KTB Fit 54/100
Fraher Field is a smart performer who has shown strong form this season with two wins and a second from his last four starts. He has run well here before without winning and steps up in trip today for the first time in a while which asks a fresh question. Trainer and jockey both operate at a modest 7% strike rate at Killarney. Recent form of 217-02 highlights his consistency at a useful level, and as a six-year-old he brings placed course form from two previous visits. Phillip Enright takes the ride for the Kiely team whose combined record stands at 0/5, yet the horse's ability sets a clear standard. Unproven on the ground and with stamina to prove, his prominent run-style could see him contest the lead if the pace is not strong.
Tumbling In KTB Fit 54/100
Tumbling In has shown fair form in three starts, finishing third on his most recent outing after two placed efforts. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Killarney contrasts with the jockey's solid 13% record at the track. Form figures of 43-3 paint a picture of steady placed efforts without yet winning, and at five he has scope as a lightly raced maiden. G B Noonan combines with E McNamara on terms of 4/41 with an even A/E, suggesting the partnership can be competitive. With no course form on record and unproven on the ground, his mid-division run-style may see him delivered late if the race develops stamina demands.
Chisel Hill KTB Fit 51/100
Chisel Hill is a smart performer who has shown steady improvement in three starts, finishing a solid second on his most recent outing. Steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer has only had two runners at the track while the jockey's modest 4 percent strike rate from 55 rides here adds a note of caution. Form of 6-42 demonstrates clear progress and places him firmly in the mix on ability, with recent placings over shorter trips. Sam Ewing partners for Ian Patrick Donoghue whose record reads 2/24 with an A/E of 0.81, and the five-year-old remains open to further advancement. Unproven on the ground and without course experience, his mid-division preference could prove well suited if the race turns into a test.
Another Blunder KTB Fit 49/100
Another Blunder has shown very little in five starts with a string of weak efforts including three heavy defeats this year. The step up to 2m6f poses a fresh question and the yard record at Killarney is respectable at 10 percent from ten runs. Jockey Alan O'Sullivan has a poor 4 percent strike rate from 27 rides here. Recent form of 70-006 offers little encouragement and at five years old he remains a maiden with much to find on all known form. The Michael Barry stable's local record provides one positive, yet the combination with a 0/12 trainer-jockey record and an A/E of 0.00 suggests this is a stiff task. Unproven on the ground with a mid-division run-style, he is likely to find several too strong.
The rest of the field
Some PretenderKTB Fit 48/100
Some Pretender has shown consistent placed form in weaker races but was well held when stepped up in grade last time. He now steps up in trip as a relatively lightly raced 6 year old and that distance poses a fresh question. Mullins has a 22% strike rate from 586 runs at Killarney while Hayes records a 10% strike rate from 108 rides here.
Pets GeorginaKTB Fit 48/100
Pets Georgina's recent form of 77-U21 shows a win two starts back but also plenty of lesser efforts and a fall. Steps up markedly in trip today having been beaten on her only previous try at this distance. Trainer has a modest 6% strike rate here from 145 runs while jockey fares better on 16% from 113 rides.
Jessie RoeKTB Fit 46/100
Jessie Roe has shown very little so far with a string of modest efforts and no placed finishes from seven starts. The step up to 2m6f is a fresh question while first-time headgear is now tried in a bid to spark some improvement. The jockey’s 16% strike rate at Killarney offers some encouragement but the yard’s small-sample record here means this remains a tentative profile.
Sonna LadyKTB Fit 44/100
Sonna Lady has shown little in two starts to date, finishing down the field both times. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at Killarney from a large sample suggests this is no easy task. Stepping up markedly in trip asks a fresh question of her.
Greenroad GirlKTB Fit 44/100
Greenroad Girl is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 13 runs at Killarney while the jockey has a solid 12% strike rate from 34 rides here. With low data confidence any judgement rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
Glenmore GraduateKTB Fit 41/100
Glenmore Graduate has shown very little so far with two pulled-ups and a couple of remote finishes from his four starts. The yard has failed to land a winner from 17 runs at Killarney while Sean O'Keeffe operates at a 6% strike rate from 114 rides here. Stepping up markedly in trip asks a fresh question of this lightly-raced 5-year-old and the small-sample data means any firm conclusions would be unwise.
Daily DevotionKTB Fit 41/100
Daily Devotion has only two runs in the last year and showed little in either of them. The step up to 2m6f today asks a fresh question of a horse whose stamina is untested. Trainer and jockey records at Killarney are based on very small samples so offer no reliable guide.
Uno Me I Like My TKTB Fit 40/100
Uno Me I Like My T has shown little so far with a recent form line of PF-3FP and only one placed effort from five starts. He was well beaten on his sole run here and the yard has failed to land a winner from eight attempts at Killarney. First-time headgear is now applied as he steps up in trip to an untested 2m6f.
Torque De LuneKTB Fit 38/100
Torque De Lune has shown moderate form at shorter trips with a placed effort over 2m4f last time but now steps up in distance for the first time. The yard records a 5% strike rate from 183 runs at Killarney while apprentice Harry Sexton is still seeking his first winner from 13 rides at the track. Data confidence is only medium given the horse remains lightly raced overall.
Keyser SmokesyKTB Fit 34/100
Keyser Smokesy is a fair performer who showed his best effort when third on his final start last season. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 2m and that asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has only one run at Killarney while the jockey is 0-11 at the track.
KTB verdict
Mysilverriverfeale is the KTB Selection. He has shown useful ability on his last two starts and arrives here in decent form after finishing second last time, with the first-time headgear potentially helping him build on that promise as he steps up in trip. The combination of Daniel King's respectable 13% strike rate at Killarney and a KTB Fit Score of 58 gives him the edge in a race where several others have stamina to prove. Main dangers are headed by Fraher Field, whose strong recent form sets a clear standard, while Tumbling In, Chisel Hill and the consistent Some Pretender cannot be ruled out if the step up in distance suits.
KTB Selection Mysilverriverfeale
This is the narrative read of the 2:02 Killarney. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Killarney racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time having shown useful ability on its last two starts?
Mysilverriverfeale, who finished second last time out and now tries 2m6f180y for the first time.
What is the trainer and jockey combined strike rate at Killarney for the second highest rated horse on KTB Fit?
Both the trainer and jockey for Fraher Field operate at a modest 7% strike rate at Killarney.
Which runner is a debutant with the yard recording a 0% strike rate from 13 runs at the track?
Greenroad Girl, whose jockey has a solid 12% strike rate from 34 rides here.
How many placed efforts has Tumbling In recorded from his three starts to date?
Tumbling In has recorded three placed efforts from three starts, with form figures of 43-3.
Which horse brings course-placed form but is still seeking its first win at Killarney?
Fraher Field, who has recorded an 11th and a 2nd from two runs here.
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