7:33 Nottingham
A small but competitive Class 5 handicap over 1m2f50y at Nottingham on good to firm ground brings together four three-year-olds, three of whom arrive in consistent if winless form. The KTB Fit scores separate the field modestly, with Poor Relation heading the numbers at 53 while Crimson Rambler and Del Corso sit on 45 and Miss Pretty trails on 35. Dropping in class, stepping up in trip and first-time headgear all come into play, yet the overall picture is one of modest performers seeking to turn placed efforts into a victory.
How the race shapes up
With only four runners the pace shape is compact. Poor Relation and Del Corso both tend to race prominently from their inside draws, while Crimson Rambler has shown flexibility and Miss Pretty can settle wherever required. The race is therefore likely to be run at a steady gallop early on, with the key question being which horse can quicken most effectively off that pace in the straight and whether the step up in trip suits those making their first attempt at the distance.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Poor Relation KTB Selection53/100Modest performer who has shown steady placed form this year after a modest debut.
- 2Crimson Rambler45/100Crimson Rambler is a modest performer who has been consistent enough to place on three of his last six starts.
- 3Del Corso45/100Modest performer who has shown consistent placed form this year without winning.
- 4Miss Pretty35/100Modest performer who showed promise when third over course and distance on her penultimate start but failed to build on it last time.
The contenders
Poor Relation KTB Fit 53/100
Poor Relation is a modest performer who has shown steady placed form this year after a modest debut. He has been asked a fresh question at this trip and placed without winning on one of two attempts. The Ollie Sangster yard strikes at 18% at Nottingham from a smallish sample, a record matched by Callum Rodriguez operating at a similar level from a bigger book of rides. Dropping in class looks a positive, though the colt remains unproven on good to firm and has no previous course form on record. From draw three he should be able to race prominently, which may prove an advantage if the race is not truly run. Overall he comes into this with the best KTB Fit score of the quartet.
Crimson Rambler KTB Fit 45/100
Crimson Rambler is a modest performer who has been consistent enough to place on three of his last six starts. He has already shown he handles this trip and has finished runner-up here on his only visit to Nottingham, though first-time headgear is now reached for. The Matt Crawley stable has had too few runners at the track to judge while Liam Wright's modest 8% strike rate from 12 rides at Nottingham adds little confidence. The colt has been competitive on good to firm without winning, and his placed effort over course and distance provides a solid reference point. From draw four he can be ridden to suit, but the headgear suggests connections are looking for extra spark from a horse that has been largely reliable rather than progressive.
Del Corso KTB Fit 45/100
Del Corso is a modest performer who has shown consistent placed form this year without winning. He has been placed once from two runs at Nottingham and steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question. Ed Walker has a solid 16% strike rate at the track from 148 runs while the jockey is 13% from only eight rides here. The 2/39 trainer-jockey combination carries an A/E of 0.81, indicating they are broadly operating to expectations. He has failed to place in two runs on good to firm to date, yet his Nottingham efforts of third and fifth show he handles the venue. Drawn one, he is likely to be prominent again and his recent consistency keeps him firmly in the picture.
The rest of the field
Miss PrettyKTB Fit 35/100
Miss Pretty is a modest performer who showed promise when third over course and distance on her penultimate start but failed to build on it last time. First-time headgear is now fitted after two modest efforts at this trip. The Edward Smyth-Osbourne yard has a small sample at Nottingham while Harry Davies operates at a 10% strike rate from 52 rides here. She remains unproven on good to firm.
KTB verdict
Poor Relation tops the KTB Fit scores and is taken as the selection in a race where most of the field are treading water at a modest level. His placed form this year, drop in class and the respectable Nottingham record of his trainer and jockey give him the most solid profile, especially if he can race prominently from draw three. The main dangers are Crimson Rambler, who has already shown his liking for the track and trip, and Del Corso, whose consistent placed efforts and strong trainer course statistic cannot be ignored. Miss Pretty may improve for the headgear but has the lowest Fit score and has yet to prove herself at this level.
KTB Selection Poor Relation
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 18 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Poor Relation | 4/1 | 7Bet |
| Crimson Rambler | 5/2 | BetTom |
| Del Corso | 5/4 | Bet365 |
| Miss Pretty | 6/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:33 Nottingham. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Nottingham racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time?
Del Corso is stepping up in trip for the first time today.
Who is wearing first-time headgear?
Crimson Rambler and Miss Pretty are both wearing first-time headgear.
Which horse has the best strike rate at Nottingham among the trainers?
Ed Walker has a 16% strike rate at Nottingham from 148 runs.
Has any horse in the field won on good to firm ground?
No horse in the field has won on good to firm; Crimson Rambler is placed once from two runs on the surface while the others are unproven.
Which runner has course and distance form?
Miss Pretty showed promise when third over course and distance on her penultimate start, while Crimson Rambler has finished runner-up here on his only visit though not confirmed at this exact distance.
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